David Kosson —Be trustworthy, credible, approachable, and independent
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
David Kosson Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Amanda Boyd —Respect local knowledge, communication, and traditions
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
Amanda Boyd Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Tom Burke —Listen to the community
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
Joanna Burger,
Tom Burke Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Risk Communication During Crises and Chronic Exposures
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Information needs, approaches, and case studies in human health risk communication
This article uses ten case studies to illustrate the information needs, various communication approaches, and the communicator's role in explaining environmental health risks from a variety of hazards, to a variety of audiences, over time frames from days to years, using in person consultation, lectures, zooms, and email formats. Events often had a long history before the communication began and may have had a long tail afterward. Audiences may be public officials, companies, workers, communities, or individuals. Each individual may have their own understanding or mental model regarding the hazard, exposure, and risk. The ...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Michael Gochfeld Tags: PERSPECTIVE Source Type: research
Governmental anti ‐pandemic policies, vaccination, population mobility, Twitter narratives, and the spread of COVID‐19: Evidence from the European Union countries
AbstractWe provide large-scale empirical evidence on the effects of multiple governmental regulatory and health policies, vaccination, population mobility, and COVID-19-related Twitter narratives on the spread of a new coronavirus infection. Using multiple-level fixed effects panel data model with weekly data for 27 European Union countries in the period of March 2020 –June 2021, we show that governmental response policies were effective both in reducing the number of COVID-19 infection cases and deaths from it, particularly, in the countries with higher level of rule of law. Vaccination expectedly helped to decrease the...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Elena Fedorova,
Svetlana Ledyaeva,
Oksana Kulikova,
Alexandr Nevredinov Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
A national risk analysis model (NRAM) for the assessment of COVID ‐19 epidemic
This study proposes a national risk analysis model (NRAM) combining Bayesian network (BN) with other methods. The model is built and applied through three steps. (1) The key factors affecting the epidemic spreading are identified to form the nodes of BN. Then, each node can be assigned state values after data collection and analysis. (2) The model (NRAM) will be built through the determination of the structure and parameters of the network based on some integrated methods. (3) The model will be applied to scenario deduction and sensitivity analysis to support decision-making in the context of COVID-19. Through the comparis...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 9, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Qing Deng,
Xingyu Xiao,
Lin Zhu,
Xue Cao,
Kai Liu,
Hui Zhang,
Lida Huang,
Feng Yu,
Huiling Jiang,
Yi Liu Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Biospheric values as predictor of climate change risk perception: A multinational investigation
AbstractClimate change is one of the big challenges of our time. A better understanding of how individuals form their evaluation of the risk related to climate change seems to be key to win broad support for climate change mitigation efforts. Extant research indicates that biospheric values (BV) are an important antecedent of individuals ’ perception of the risk and consequences related to climate change. However, risk perception scholars have only recently started to study how BV relate to individuals’ climate change risk perception (CCRP) and much is still to be learned about this relationship. The present study cont...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 9, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Christian Martin Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Assessing the effect on the public health risk of current and alternative border control of Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis in imported frozen poultry meat in Jordan
AbstractThe JFDA applies border control forSalmonella Typhimurium andSalmonella Enteritidis in frozen poultry products. A QMRA model was developed to evaluate the effectiveness of this system in controlling the risk for consumers.The model consists of three modules; consumer phase, risk estimation, and risk reduction. The model inputs were the occurrence ofSalmonella in different types of imported poultry products, the LOD of the Rapid ’Salmonella, the number of tested samples of each batch, and the criteria for rejection. The model outputs were public health impact as the Minimum Relative Residual Risk (MRRR) given the ...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 9, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Tariq Hantash,
Ofosuhene O. Apenteng,
Maarten Nauta,
H åkan Vigre Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Modeling of interventions for reducing external Enterobacteriaceae contamination of broiler carcasses during processing
This article presents a mathematical model for theEnterobacteriaceae count on the surface of broiler chicken during slaughter and how it may be affected by different processing technologies. The model is based on a model originally developed forCampylobacter and has been adapted forEnterobacteriaceae using a Bayesian updating approach and hitherto unpublished data gathered from German abattoirs. The slaughter process in the model consists of five stages: input, scalding, defeathering, evisceration, washing, and chilling.The impact of various processing technologies along the broiler processing line on theEnterobacteriaceae...
Source: Risk Analysis - December 29, 2022 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Guido Correia Carreira,
Michaela Projahn,
Nina Langkabel,
Evelyne Becker,
Annemarie K äsbohrer Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Quantitative risk assessment ‐epidemic curve prediction model for leafy green outbreak investigation
The objective of this study was to leverage quantitative risk assessment to investigate possible root cause(s) of foodborne illness outbreaks related to Shiga toxin-producingEscherichia coli O157:H7 (STEC O157) infections in leafy greens in the United States. To this end, we developed the FDA leafy green quantitative risk assessment epidemic curve prediction model (FDA-LG QRA-EC) that simulated the lettuce supply chain. The model was used to predict the number of reported illnesses and the epidemic curve associated with lettuce contaminated with STEC O157 for a wide range of scenarios representing various contamination con...
Source: Risk Analysis - December 14, 2022 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Hao Pang,
R égis Pouillot,
Jane M. Van Doren Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Effects of air pollution and weather on the initial COVID ‐19 outbreaks in United States, Italy, Spain, and China: A comparative study
AbstractContrasting effects have been identified in association of weather (temperature and humidity) and pollutant gases with COVID-19 infection, which could be derived from the influence of lockdowns and season change. The influence of pollutant gases and climate during the initial phases of the pandemic, before the closures and the change of season in the northern hemisphere, is unknown. Here, we used a spatial-temporal Bayesian zero-inflated-Poisson model to test for short-term associations of weather and pollutant gases with the relative risk of COVID-19 disease in China (first outbreak) and the countries with more ca...
Source: Risk Analysis - December 13, 2022 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Alberto J. Alaniz,
Mario A. Carvajal,
Jorge G. Carvajal,
Pablo M. Vergara Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
The role of perceived risk on dishonest decision making during a pandemic
AbstractThe COVID-19 pandemic presented serious risks to the health and financial wellbeing of millions of people across the world. While many individuals adapted to these challenges through a variety of prosocial and protective behaviors (e.g., social distancing, working from home), many others also engaged in dishonest behaviors (e.g., lying to obtain vaccines or furlough payments). Hence, the COVID-19 pandemic provided a unique context in which to obtain a better understanding of the relationship between risk and dishonesty. Across three preregistered studies, we assessed whether objective risk and perceived risk influe...
Source: Risk Analysis - December 13, 2022 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Ian G. J. Dawson,
Yaniv M. Hanoch Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Cross ‐country risk quantification of extreme wildfires in Mediterranean Europe
AbstractWe estimate the country-level risk of extreme wildfires defined by burned area (BA) for Mediterranean Europe and carry out a cross-country comparison. To this end, we avail of the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) geospatial data from 2006 to 2019 to perform an extreme value analysis. More specifically, we apply a point process characterization of wildfire extremes using maximum likelihood estimation. By modeling covariates, we also evaluate potential trends and correlations with commonly known factors that drive or affect wildfire occurrence, such as the Fire Weather Index as a proxy for meteorologic...
Source: Risk Analysis - December 13, 2022 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Sarah Meier,
Eric Strobl,
Robert J. R. Elliott,
Nicholas Kettridge Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Assessment of ductile dike behavior as a novel flood risk reduction measure
AbstractDikes are an effective flood risk reduction measure in deltaic areas. Present risk analyses consist often of decoupled calculations of probabilities of dike failure and calculation of consequences of flooding given dike failure. However, the flood defense design determines not only the probability of failure, but influences the consequences of flooding as well. Especially when the dike has a ductile failure and breach growth behavior, due to a structural robust design, the consequences of flooding reduce. In this article, we present a novel assessment of risks and investments, valuing structural robustness of a con...
Source: Risk Analysis - December 9, 2022 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: F. den Heijer,
M. Kok Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
