Urban risks due to climate change in the Andean municipality of Pasto, Colombia: A Bayesian network approach
AbstractThe
current trends of climate change will increase people's exposure to urban risks related to events such as landslides, floods, forest fires, food production, health, and water availability, which are stochastic and very localized in nature. This research uses a Bayesian network (BN) approach to analyze the intensity of such urban risks for the Andean municipality of Pasto, Colombia, under climate change scenarios. The stochastic BN model is linked to correlational models and local scenarios of representative concentration trajectories (RCP) to project the possible risks to which the municipality of Pasto will be...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 17, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Luis Carlos Ortega Chamorro,
Julio Eduardo Ca ñón Barriga Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Resilience analysis of cyber ‐physical systems: A review of models and methods
AbstractCyber-physical systems (CPSs) are monitored and controlled by a computing and communicating core. This cyber layer enables better management of the controlled subsystem, but it also introduces threats to the security and protection of CPSs, as demonstrated by recent cyberattacks. The resulting governance and policy emphasis on cybersecurity is reflected in the academia by a vast body of literature. In this article, we systematize existing knowledge on CPS analysis. Specifically, we focus on the quantitative assessment of CPSs before and after the occurrence of a disruption. Through the systematic analysis of the mo...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 17, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Beatrice Cassottana,
Muhammad M. Roomi,
Daisuke Mashima,
Giovanni Sansavini Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Evaluation of hazard brochures using topic viewing durations: Application to tsunami evacuation brochures
This study describes a novel method of assessing risk communication effectiveness by reporting an evaluation of a tsunami information brochure by 90 residents of three Pacific coast communities that are vulnerable to a Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake and tsunami —Commencement Bay, Washington; Lincoln City, Oregon; and Eureka, California. Study participants viewed information that was presented inDynaSearch, an internet-based computer system that allowed them to view text boxes and tsunami inundation zone maps.DynaSearch recorded the number of times each text box or map was clicked and the length of time that it was v...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 13, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Michael K. Lindell,
Meen Chel Jung,
Carla S. Prater,
Donald H. House Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
On the adoption of nonpharmaceutical interventions during the pandemic: An evolutionary game model
This article fills the research gap by developing an evolutionary game-theoretic framework to model the dynamics of population behavior on the adoption of NPI. We construct the two-group asymmetric game, where behavioral change for each group is characterized by replicator equations. Sensitivity analyses are performed to examine the long-term stability of equilibrium points with respect to perturbation of model parameters. We found that the limiting behavior of intervention adoption in the population consists of only pure strategies in a game setting, indicating that the evolutionary outcome is that everyone either takes u...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 13, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Zhiyuan Wei,
Jun Zhuang Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Cyber risk assessment in small and medium ‐sized enterprises: A multilevel decision‐making approach for small e‐tailors
AbstractThe role played by information and communication technologies in today's businesses cannot be underestimated. While such technological advancements provide numerous advantages and opportunities, they are known to thread organizations with new challenges such as cyberattacks. This is particularly important for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that are deemed to be the least mature and highly vulnerable to cybersecurity risks. Thus, this research is set to assess the cyber risks in online retailing SMEs (e-tailing SMEs). Therefore, this article employs a sample of 124 small e-tailers in the United Kingdom an...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 11, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Arun Sukumar,
Hannan Amoozad Mahdiraji,
Vahid Jafari ‐Sadeghi Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Do colored cells in risk matrices affect decision ‐making and risk perception? Insights from randomized controlled studies
AbstractRisk matrices communicate the likelihood and potential impact of risks and are often used to inform decision-making around risk mitigations. The merits and demerits of risk matrices in general have been discussed extensively, yet little attention has been paid to the potential influence of color in risk matrices on their users. We draw from fuzzy-trace theory and hypothesize that when color is present, individuals are likely to place greater value on reducing risks that cross color boundaries (i.e., the boundary-crossing effect), leading to sub-optimal decision making. In two randomized controlled studies, employin...
Source: Risk Analysis - January 11, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Ruri Proto,
Gabriel Recchia,
Sarah Dryhurst,
Alexandra L. J. Freeman Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Issue Information ‐ TOC
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Tags: Issue Information Source Type: research
Bernard D. Goldstein —Risk communication as an essential component of public health practice
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
Bernard D. Goldstein Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Ken Berlin —Climate science, risk, and solutions must be communicated together
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
Ken Berlin Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Carl Safina —Provide your audience with information they care about
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
Carl Safina Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Michael R. Greenberg —Talking to the media requires clear, concise, relatable messages
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Karen Lowrie,
Michael R. Greenberg Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
James H. Johnson Jr. —Listen and find commonalities
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
James H. Johnson Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Timothy Fields —Building networks for success
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
Joanna Burger,
Timothy Fields Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Michelle Lohmann —Challenge the status quo
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Joanna Burger,
Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
Michelle Lohmann Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Richard Jackson —Be empathetic, humble, and clear
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - January 10, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Michael Greenberg,
Karen Lowrie,
Joanna Burger,
Richard Jackson Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
