Comment on risk ethics in policy decisions
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - March 3, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Steven Long Tags: COMMENTARY Source Type: research
Weighted Bayesian network for the classification of unbalanced food safety data: Case study of risk ‐based monitoring of heavy metals
This study proposes a weighted Bayesian network (WBN) classifier to improve the model prediction accuracy for the presence of food and feed safety hazards using unbalanced monitoring data, specifically for the presence of heavy metals in feed. Applying different weight values resulted in different classification accuracies for each involved class; the optimal weight value was defined as the value that yielded the most effective monitoring plan, that is, identifying the highest percentage of contaminated feed batches. Results showed that the Bayesian network classifier resulted in a large difference between the classificati...
Source: Risk Analysis - March 3, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Xinxin Wang,
Yamine Bouzembrak,
A. G. J. M. Oude Lansink,
H. J. Fels ‐Klerx Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
A system dynamics model of the COVID ‐19 pandemic considering risk perception: A case study of Iran
AbstractThe new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a complex issue around the world. As the disease advancing and death rates are continuously increasing, governments are trying to control the situation by implementing different response policies. In order to implement appropriate policies, we need to consider the behavior of the people. Risk perception (RP) is a critical component in many health behavior change theories studies. People's RP can shape their behavior. This research presents a system dynamics (SD) model of the COVID-19 outbreak considering RP. The proposed model considers effective factors on RP,...
Source: Risk Analysis - March 1, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Mohammadreza Korzebor,
Nasim Nahavandi Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
The emergence of complex adaptive response networks in China: A case study of four disasters
This study aims to identify the driving forces behind interorganizational networks in China following disasters. Using the theory of complex adaptive systems, we identified the self-organization process of disaster response as the network formation process. We identified interorganizational networks that emerged in response to two natural hazards and two technical disasters by collecting data from multiple sources. The exponential random model analysis is performed to analyze the effects of structures and organizational attributes on network formation. In structuring networks for disaster response, finding s demonstrate...
Source: Risk Analysis - March 1, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Zhiagng Tao,
Haibo Zhang Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
A place ‐based risk appraisal model for exploring residents’ attitudes toward nature‐based solutions to flood risks
In this study, we argue that the place where a hazard exists should be considered a critical contextual factor alongside flood risk appraisals and perceptions of NBS themselves. We have developed a theoretical framework—the “Place-based Risk Appraisal Mode l (PRAM)”—that draws on constructs inspired by theories of place and risk perception. A citizen survey (n = 304) was conducted in five municipalities in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany, where dike relocation and floodplain restoration projects have been conducted along the Elbe River. Structural equation modeling was adopted to test the PRAM. Attitudes toward the projec...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 28, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Sungju Han,
Philip Bubeck,
Annegret Thieken,
Christian Kuhlicke Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Analyzing indirect economic impacts of wildfire damages on regional economies
This article estimates the economic impacts of wildfire damage on Korea's regional economies, developing an integrated disaster-economic system for Korea. The system is composed of four modules: an interregional computable general equilibrium (ICGE) model for the eastern mountain area (EMA) and the rest of Korea, a Bayesian wildfire model, a transportation demand model, and a tourist expenditure model. The model has a hierarchical structure, with the ICGE model serving as a core module to link to three other modules. In the impact analysis of a wildfire, three external shocks are injected into the ICGE model: (1) the wildf...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 23, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Euijune Kim,
Younghyun John Kwon Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Who contributes to disaster preparedness? Predicting decision making in social dilemmas pertaining to community resilience
AbstractPlanning for community resilience through public infrastructure projects often engenders problems associated with social dilemmas, but little work has been done to understand how individuals respond when presented with opportunities to invest in such developments. Using statistical learning techniques trained on the results of a web-based common pool resource game, we analyze participants' decisions to invest in hypothetical public infrastructure projects that bolster their community's resilience to disasters. Given participants' dispositions and in-game circumstances, Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 22, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Paul M. Johnson,
Hiba Baroud,
Corey E. Brady,
Mark Abkowitz Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Effects of communicating lifetime risks and screening rates of colorectal cancer and breast cancer
This study featured two online experiments, one focused on breast cancer (N = 632) and one focused on colorectal cancer (N = 671), to examine the effects of communicating national cancer lifetime risks and screening rates among samples of screening-eligible adults in the United States. Findings confirmed prior work in showing that people overestimated colorectal/breast cancer lifetime risks but underestimated colorec tal/breast cancer screening rates. Communicating the national lifetime risk of dying from colorectal/breast cancer lowered people's national risk estimates, which in turn was associated with lower perceive...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 22, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Jiawei Liu,
Jeff Niederdeppe Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Narrative persuasion and psychological distance: Analyzing the effectiveness of distance ‐framed narratives in communicating ocean plastic pollution
This study integrates the construal level theory of psychological distance and narrative persuasion to examine how distance-framed narratives influence young adults ’ attitude, behavioral intention, and policy support related to ocean plastic pollution. Results from an experimental survey (N = 889) indicate that the narrative featuring socially close characters and spatially close location is least effective in producing persuasive effects. Instead, the narrative depicting socially close characters’ encounters at a spatially distant location is more persuasive. Within narrative con ditions, the findings support the m...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 20, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Sixiao Liu,
Janet Z. Yang Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in cooked (tandoori) chicken and associated health risk
This study determined the levels of 16 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in tandoori chicken and assessed the associated health risk. The sum of 16 PAHs concentration ranged from 25.4 to 3733 μg/kg with an average of 440 ± 853 μg/kg. Analyzed samples demonstrated major contribution of 2, 3, and 4 ring PAHs. Diagnostic ratios identified combustion and high-temperature processes as the main source favoring PAHs generation in these samples. Benzo(a)pyrene equivalents and incremental life time cancer risk (ILCR) estimates for different population groups (boys, girls, adult males, adult females, elderly males, elderly ...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 18, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Lochan Singh,
Tripti Agarwal Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
The effects of death awareness and reactance on texting ‐and‐driving prevention
AbstractUsing a 2 (mortality: salient, control) × 2 (freedom-limiting language: freedom-limiting, autonomy-supportive) independent-group design, this study examined the relationship between mortality salience and psychological reactance in the context of texting-and-driving prevention messages. The terror management health model and the theory of psychological reactance guided study predictions. Results showed mortality salience produced adaptive effects on attitudes toward texting-and-driving prevention and behavioral intentions to reduce unsafe driving practices. Additionally, some evidence for the effectiveness of dir...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 18, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Elena Bessarabova,
Zachary B. Massey Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
Issue Information ‐ TOC
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - February 16, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Tags: ISSUE INFORMATION Source Type: research
Global systemic risk and resilience for novel coronavirus with evolving perspectives
(Source: Risk Analysis)
Source: Risk Analysis - February 16, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Desheng Wu,
Jade Mitchell,
James H. Lambert Tags: EDITORIAL Source Type: research
Growing convergence research: Coproducing climate projections to inform proactive decisions for managing simultaneous wildfire risk
AbstractWe apply a convergence research approach to the urgent need for proactive management of long-term risk associated with wildfire in the United States. In this work we define convergence research in accordance with the US National Science Foundation —as a means of addressing a specific and compelling societal problem for which solutions require deep integration across disciplines and engagement of stakeholders. Our research team brings expertise in climate science, fire science, landscape ecology, and decision science to address the risk from simultaneous and impactful fires that compete for management resources, a...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 16, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Alison C. Cullen,
Susan J. Prichard,
John T. Abatzoglou,
Alexandra Dolk,
Lee Kessenich,
Sunniva Bloem,
Melissa S. Bukovsky,
Reed Humphrey,
Seth McGinnis,
Haley Skinner,
Linda O. Mearns Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
When others control risks: Others ‐focused coping with risks from energy projects
This study aims to examine how people cope with such externally controlled risks from energy projects, in particular earthquakes induced by gas extraction in their region. Specifically, we studied which factors influence people's intentions to engage in emotion-focused coping aimed at reducing negative emotions, and problem-focused coping aimed at reducing the risks and/or their negative consequences. Extending previous studies, we distinguish two types of problem-focused coping that may be relevant when facing externally controlled risks, namely self-focused coping, in which individual themselves take action to reduce the...
Source: Risk Analysis - February 15, 2023 Category: International Medicine & Public Health Authors: Leonie Vrieling,
Goda Perlaviciute,
Linda Steg Tags: ORIGINAL ARTICLE Source Type: research
