Modeling the public health impact of voxelotor in the management of sickle cell disease in France

The objective of this study was to estimate the impact of voxelotor on the burden of SCD in France using a modeling approach, accounting for its anticipated adoption and diffusion over the next 5 years. We designed a sequential multi-cohort model to project and compare the cumulative incidence of SCD complications over a 20-year time horizon in a world with and without voxelotor. A distribution of patients was simulated across various levels of Hb response based on the phase 3 HO PE trial results, and relative risk reduction was adjusted using published meta-analysis results that projected risk reduction due to a 1 g/dL increase in Hb. In 6100 modeled patients with SCD treated with voxelotor, the model projected the number of deaths to decrease by 39.4%, with an increase of 1.8% in life-years gained. The model also projected life expectancy to increase by 15.8%, and incident cases of stroke, pulmonary hypertension, and chronic kidney disease to decrease by 19.8%, 24.5%, and 25.1%, respectively. The model suggests that improving Hb using a treatment such as voxelotor ma y have a positive public health impact by reducing the burden of SCD for patients and the healthcare system.
Source: PLoS One - Category: Biomedical Science Authors: Source Type: research