What They Don ’t Know Says A Lot: Residents’ Knowledge of Neighborhood Crime in Contemporary China
ConclusionsUnderstanding the meanings behind DK has important implications for whether to include the DK option in survey designs and how to handle DK responses in data analysis when they occur. When DK is a valid answer for many respondents, not including the DK option in the survey instrument forces respondents to choose a nonexistent answer, which can result in misleading interpretations. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - December 11, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Criminal Offending and Mortality over the Full Life-Course: A 70-Year Follow-up of the Cambridge –Somerville Youth Study
ConclusionsThat group differences in mortality risk did not emerge until age 55 (while offending is in decline) suggests that the relationship between offending and mortality is not direct and may be spurious. Knowledge about the relationship between criminal offending and mortality can be greatly improved by following participants into old age. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - December 1, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Pax Monopolista and Crime: The Case of the Emergence of the Primeiro Comando da Capital in S ão Paulo
ConclusionsResults are compatible with the main theoretical reasons why the monopolization of criminal activity may lead to a reduction in crime. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - November 16, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

The “Pliability” of Criminological Analyses: Assessing Bias in Regression Estimates Using Monte Carlo Simulations
ConclusionsAlthough MCS have been increasingly used by criminologists, they could be used by a broader body of researchers, instructors, and policymakers to assess and ensure the reliability of reported findings. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - November 14, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Toward an Integrated Multilevel Theory of Crime at Place: Routine Activities, Social Disorganization, and The Law of Crime Concentration
ConclusionsThis study lends support to a multilevel theory of the law of crime concentration that includes both neighborhood and street segment level conditions. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - November 8, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Disrupting the Pathway from Truancy to Delinquency: A Randomized Field Trial Test of the Longitudinal Impact of a School Engagement Program
ConclusionsPartnerships between schools and police that communicate, in a procedurally fair way, parental legal responsibilities for their children to attend school holds promise for increasing a truanting young person ’s willingness to go to school and reducing their self-reported antisocial behaviour, at least in the short run. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - November 8, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Effect of Gang Injunctions on Crime: A Study of Los Angeles from 1988 –2014
ConclusionsInjunctions represent a powerful place-based intervention strategy for police and prosecutors. Courts have recently subjected gang injunctions to closer scrutiny. This study indicates that gang injunctions contributed to a meaningful amount of the crime reductions in Los Angeles. Future research should examine whether gang injunctions reduce crime by specific deterrent effects on individual gang members or by the general deterrent effect of placing an area under greater police surveillance and restricting public gatherings and other actions deemed to be indicators of gang activity. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - November 1, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Religious Involvement, Moral Community and Social Ecology: New Considerations in the Study of Religion and Reentry
ConclusionsFindings have theoretical implications for the study of religion and reentry. Methodologically, failing to account for the religious context of counties, in addition to micro –macro linkages, harms individual level research on religion and reentry. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - October 9, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Extending Research on Neighborhoods and Crime: An Examination of Mortgage Fraud across Chicago Census Tracts
ConclusionsThe findings suggest the relationship between neighborhood structural characteristics and mortgage fraud is partially due to a lack of public social control in disadvantaged minority neighborhoods. Future research should build on this study and examine a wider variety of crimes than are traditionally studied at the neighborhood level. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - September 17, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Does Eligibility for Tertiary Education Affect Crime Rates? Quasi-Experimental Evidence
ConclusionsThe results show that when young people have the opportunity to attend tertiary education, and thus escape unemployment or inactivity, their propensity to commit crime decreases. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - September 1, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Working with Misspecified Regression Models
ConclusionsIf one is prepared to work with explicit approximations of a “true” model, defensible analyses can be obtained. The alternative is working with models about which all of the usual criticisms hold. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - September 1, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

A Tale of Two Margins: Exploring the Probabilistic Processes that Generate Prison Visits in the First Two  Years of Incarceration
ConclusionWe demonstrate that time variation in visitation occurs along the prevalence margin. Researchers interested in studying the longitudinal relationship between visits and outcomes should be attentive to this result. Additionally, characteristics of prisoners assigned to the trajectory groups using Posterior Probabilities of Assignment suggest that pre-prison factors (i.e. criminal record) and in-prison policy decisions (i.e. custody level) are associated with particular patterns of visits over time; highlighting the challenge to understanding the effect of visitation in studies without explicit causal identificatio...
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - September 1, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

Racial Disproportionality in U.S. State Prisons: Accounting for the Effects of Racial and Ethnic Differences in Criminal Involvement, Arrests, Sentencing, and Time Served
ConclusionsOur more accurate accountability results contradict the NAS report of low and declining accountability. Regional accountability estimates show no consistently stronger or weaker region. We also show a corrected national estimate of the ratio of black-to-white incarceration-rates has dropped from 6.8 in 1990 to 4.7 in 2011, an important correction to concerns of increasing discrimination. Reports of offenders ’ race by victims and arrestees’ race are found to be close, supporting use of arrest as an indicator of involvement in violent crimes. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - September 1, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research

A Quasi-Experimental Evaluation of the Impact of Public Assistance on Prisoner Recidivism
ConclusionOverall, we show that the initial passage of the drug felony ban had no measurable large-scale impacts on recidivism among male or female drug offenders. We conclude that the state initiatives to remove or modify the ban, regardless of whether they improve lives of individual offenders, will likely have no appreciable impact on prison systems. (Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology)
Source: Journal of Quantitative Criminology - September 1, 2018 Category: Criminology Source Type: research