Risk Factors and Nomogram Model of Postoperative Delirium in Children with Congenital Heart Disease: A Single-Center Prospective Study

AbstractDelirium is a common postoperative complication in children with congenital heart disease, which affects their postoperative recovery. The purpose of this study is to explore the risk factors of delirium and construct a nomogram model to provide novel references for the prevention and management of postoperative delirium in children with congenital heart disease. 470 children after congenital heart surgery treated in the cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) of Shanghai Children ’s Medical Center were divided into a model and a validation cohort according to the principle of 7:3 distribution temporally. Then, the delirium-related influencing factors of 330 children in the training cohort were analyzed, and the nomogram model was established by a combination of Lasso regre ssion and logistic regression. The data of 140 children in the validation cohort were used to verify the effectiveness of the model. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that age, disease severity, non-invasive ventilation after extubation, delayed chest closure, phenobarbital dosage, p romethazine dosage, mannitol usage, and elevated temperature were independent risk factors for postoperative delirium. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the nomogram model was 0.864 and the Brier value was 0.121. Regarding the validation of the model’s effect, our results showed that 51 cases were predicted by the model and 34 cases actually occurred, including 4 cases o...
Source: Pediatric Cardiology - Category: Cardiology Source Type: research