Forecasting Health outcomes to Envision Health strategies in Ethiopia

Conclusions:This major life expectancy gain is expected to be attributed to further reductions in major communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional causes of death. Ethiopia is more likely to achieve the success of lower middle-income countries in terms of life expectancy. However less likely to achieve the success of upper middle-income countries by 2040. Non-communicable disease and injuries are expected to be leading causes from 2017 through 2040 that need more emphasis on the country ' s envisioning plans and strategies. This finding could help to strengthen the health care system, devise prevention and control strategies, and implement Best Buy interventions for NCDs and Injuries while addressing the unfinished agenda of communicable diseases and others. Providing subnational forecasting results could also be helpful in understanding projected progress and disparities between regional states to devise relevant strategies and interventions. There is also a need to improve quality data availability and accessibility to produce reliable decision-making results. [Ethiop. J. Health Dev. 2023;37 (SI-2)]Keywords: Forecasting, health outcomes, envisioning strategy, Ethiopia

Source: Ethiopian Journal of Health Development - October 20, 2023 Category: African Health Authors: Awoke Misganaw, Alemnesh Hailmariam, Ababi Zergaw, Solomon Ali, Asnake Worku, Ebba Abate, Wendwosen Teklemariam, Sebsibe Tadesse, Fentabil Getnet, Getachew Tollera, Mohsen Naghavi, Christopher J. L. Murray Source Type: research