Cancers, Vol. 15, Pages 4630: Social Determinants of Health Data Improve the Prediction of Cardiac Outcomes in Females with Breast Cancer

This study included females ≥ 18 years diagnosed with BC at any stage. The outcomes were the diagnosis and time-to-event of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) within two years following a cancer diagnosis. Covariates encompassed demographics, risk factors, individual and neighborhood-level SDOH, tumor characteristics, and BC treatment. Race-specific and race-agnostic Extreme Gradient Boosting ML models with and without SDOH data were developed and compared based on their C-index. Among 4309 patients, 11.4% experienced a 2-year MACE. The race-agnostic models exhibited a C-index of 0.78 (95% CI 0.76–0.79) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.80–0.82) without and with SDOH data, respectively. In non-Hispanic Black women (NHB; n = 765), models without and with SDOH data achieved a C-index of 0.74 (95% CI 0.72–0.76) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.73–0.78), respectively. Among non-Hispanic White women (n = 3321), models without and with SDOH data yielded a C-index of 0.79 (95% CI 0.77–0.80) and 0.79 (95% CI 0.77–0.80), respectively. In summary, including SDOH data improves the predictive performance of ML models in forecasting 2-year MACE among BC females, particularly within NHB.
Source: Cancers - Category: Cancer & Oncology Authors: Tags: Article Source Type: research