The prediction model of the short-term outcome in elderly heart failure patients

This study was designed to investigate the effect of the comprehensive geriatric assessment on the short-term prognosis of the elderly heart failure patients (EHFP), analyze the relevant risk factors, and construct an effective risk prediction model. According to the selection and exclusion criteria, 617 patients were filtered from 800 patients from the cadre ward database of the first Hospital of Jilin University. The EHFP were randomly divided into the model group (432 cases) and the validation group (185 cases). A retrospective study on the general clinical data of patients in the model group was conducted to analyze the risk factors associated with the short-term outcomes of EHFP. Based on the risk factors, the risk prediction model was established and validated through the validation group. In the model group, the following independent risk factors were identified for the short-term outcomes in EHFP in the light of univariate logistic and cox regression analysis: female (β = 0.989, OR = 1.277, 95% CI: 1.090–1.847,P = 0.024), age (65–75 years,β = 0.654, OR = 2.320, 95% CI: 1.135–3.136,P = 0.012; 75–85 years,β = 1.123, OR = 3.159, 95% CI: 1.532–5.189,P = 0.001; age >  85 years old,β = 1.513, OR = 4.895, 95% CI: 1.866–979,P = 0.001), frailty (β = 1.015, OR = 2.761, 95% CI: 1.097–6.945,P = 0.031), malnutrition (β = 1.271, OR = 3.560, 95% CI: 1.122–11.325,P = 0.002), and EF...
Source: Heart Failure Reviews - Category: Cardiology Source Type: research