Surface water quality index forecasting using multivariate complementing approach reinforced with locally weighted linear regression model

This study used a unique hybrid model called MVMD-LWLR, which introduced an innovative method for forecasting BOD in the Klang River, Malaysia. The hybrid model combines a locally weighted linear regression (LWLR) model with a wavelet-based kernel function, along with multivariate variational mode decomposition (MVMD) for the decomposition of input variables. In addition, categorical boosting (Catboost) feature selection was used to discover and extract significant input variables. This combination of MVMD-LWLR and Catboost is the first use of such a complete model for predicting BOD levels in the given river environment. In addition, an optimization process was used to improve the performance of the model. This process utilized the gradient-based optimization (GBO) approach to fine-tune the parameters and better the overall accuracy of predicting BOD levels. To assess the robustness of the proposed method, we compared it to other popular models such as kernel ridge (KRidge) regression, LASSO, elastic net, and gaussian process regression (GPR). Several metrics, comprising root-mean-square error (RMSE), R (correlation coefficient), U95% (uncertainty coefficient at 95% level), and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency), as well as visual interpretation, were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of hybrid models. Extensive testing revealed that, in forecasting the BOD parameter, the MVMD-LWLR model outperformed its competitors. Consequently, for BOD forecasting, the suggested MVMD-...
Source: Environmental Science and Pollution Research International - Category: Environmental Health Authors: Source Type: research