All-cause mortality among Danish nursing home residents before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a nationwide cohort study

AbstractA substantial part of mortality during the COVID-19-pandemic occurred among nursing home residents which caused alarm in many countries. We investigate nursing home mortality in relation to the expected mortality prior to the pandemic. This nationwide register-based study included all 135,501 Danish nursing home residents between 2015 until October 6, 2021. All-cause mortality rates were calculated using a standardization method on sex and age distribution of 2020. Survival probability and lifetime lost for 180  days was calculated using Kaplan Meier estimates. Of 3,587 COVID-19 related deaths, 1137 (32%) occurred among nursing home residents. The yearly all-cause mortality rates per 100,000 person-years in 2015, 2016, and 2017 were 35,301 (95% CI: 34,671–35,943), 34,801 (95% CI: 34,180–35,432), and 3 5,708 (95% CI: 35,085–36,343), respectively. Slightly elevated mortality rates per 100,000 person-years were seen in 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 of 38,268 (95% CI: 37,620–38,929), 36,956 (95% CI: 36,323–37,600), 37,475 (95% CI: 36,838–38,122), and 38,536 (95% CI: 37,798–39,287), respectivel y. For SARS-CoV-2-infected nursing home residents, lifetime lost difference was 42 days (95% CI: 38–46) in 2020 versus non-infected in 2018. Among vaccinated in 2021, lifetime lost difference was 25 days (95% CI: 18–32) for SARS-CoV-2-infected versus non-infected. Even though a high proportion of COVID-19 fatalities took place in nursing homes and SARS-CoV-2-infect...
Source: European Journal of Epidemiology - Category: Epidemiology Source Type: research