Forecasting road accidental deaths in India: an explicit comparison between ARIMA and exponential smoothing method
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2023 Jun 22:1-14. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2225168. Online ahead of print.ABSTRACTThe number of deaths due to road accident is increasing day by day and has become an alarming global problem over the decades. India, with her rising motorization is no stranger to this global catastrophe. In this paper two relatively simple yet powerful and versatile techniques for forecasting time series data, autoregressive integrated moving average method (ARIMA) and exponential smoothing method are used to forecast the number of deaths due to road accidents in India from the year 2022-2031. The results based...
Source: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion - June 22, 2023 Category: Accident Prevention Authors: Prafulla Kumar Swain Manas Ranjan Tripathy Khushi Agrawal Source Type: research