Full moons and forking paths

The claim that fatal motorcycle accidents are more likely when there is a full moon is a compelling example of what Gelman and Loken call a “garden of forking paths”.Gary Smith finds that, under a variety of assumptions, the number of accidents and fatalities on full-moon nights is not unusually large at all

Source: Significance - July 27, 2022 Category: Statistics Authors: Gary Smith Tags: Features Source Type: research