New risk model estimates likelihood of death or hospitalisation from COVID-19, NIHR
A model that can calculate a person ' s risk of becoming infected and then seriously ill due to COVID-19 has been shown to accurately estimate risk during the first wave of the pandemic in England, in new research funded by the NIHR. The model, developed using routine anonymised data from more than 8 million adults in 1205 general practices across England, uses a number of factors such as a person ' s age, ethnicity and existing medical conditions to predict their risk of catching COVID-19 and then dying or being admitted to hospital. The model has the potential to provide doctors and the public with more nuanced information about risk of serious illness due to COVID-19, and to help patients and doctors reach a shared understanding of risk, within the context of individual circumstances, risk appetite and the sorts of preventat ive measures people can take.
Source: Current Awareness Service for Health (CASH) - Category: Consumer Health News Source Type: news
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