2340 The role of NEWS in predicting short term morbidity and mortality in the ED

Conclusion 256,701 patients were included finally, consisting of 247,842 (96.55%), 5,847 (2.28%) and 3,012 (1.17%) in low, medium, and high NEWS categories. The primary outcome of mortality within 24-hours was comprised of 205 (0.08%) patients. The logistic regression model performance achieved AUROC curves between 0.65 - 0.95 (24-hour mortality 0.95, 48-hour mortality 0.94, ICU admission 0.82, inpatient admission 0.68, 7-day reattendance 0.65). Within this study of an undifferentiated population of emergency care attendances across East London, increasing NEWS was associated with increased mortality, admission and reattendance. Of the outcomes investigated, prediction of 24-hour mortality achieved the highest performance.
Source: Emergency Medicine Journal - Category: Emergency Medicine Authors: Tags: RCEM Moderated Source Type: research