Technology and value network evolution in telehealth
This article analyzes a potential evolution of the telehealth value network. For that, we first identified the current trends in the evolution of telehealth technologies and products based on the quantitative analysis and review of three different types of literature – scientific publications, patents, and press releases. Furthermore, we discussed the actors that can drive the future telehealth industry by taking a key role in its value network. The study indicates that technologies and products brought by consumer companies will be used in telehealth for the self-management of chronic diseases and wellness. To facil...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Diffusion of complementary evolving pharmaceutical innovations: The case of Abacavir and its pharmacogenetic companion diagnostic in Italy
Publication date: September 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 134Author(s): Dimitri Gagliardi, Ronnie Ramlogan, Pierluigi Navarra, Cinzia Dello RussoAbstractInnovation is increasingly important in the delivery of efficient healthcare; however, the pathways through which medical innovation reach clinical practice are fraught with uncertainty. Further scientific investigation and technological development are normal in medical innovation even when drugs, diagnostics or medical procedures are already adopted. Diffusion studies rarely admit such possibilities as a fundamental element of their conc...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Business models dynamics and business ecosystems in the emerging 3D printing industry
Publication date: September 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 134Author(s): Ke Rong, Dean Patton, Weiwei ChenAbstractThis paper explores the relationships that exist between business models and ecosystems evolving in the 3D printing industry using qualitative evidence drawn from three countries: China, UK and USA. In particular, this research proposes that it is important to understand the process of business model dynamics and formulation and how the associated ecosystem evolves alongside this process to support its development. In studying the dynamics of business models in the 3D printing s...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Who will be smart home users? An analysis of adoption and diffusion of smart homes
This study suggests implications for promoting the smart home market by analyzing factors affecting adoption and diffusion of smart homes. A technology acceptance model was used to describe the adoption of smart homes and a multivariate probit model was used to describe the diffusion of smart homes. The characteristics of smart homes such as network effects between services/products and the importance of personal information protection were considered in addition to demographic variables. The results of this study show that compatibility, perceived ease of use, and perceived usefulness have significant positive effects on ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

“It's not my fault, I am in the right!” Exploration of neutralization in the justification of the support and use of a controversial technological collaborative consumption service
This study posits CBPs as ethically and morally questionable, and thus as controversial consumption schemes. Drawing on the neutralization theory research stream, this study seeks to identify how supporters and users justify the existence of controversial consumption systems such as CBPs. Our results show that, to justify CBPs, supporters and users both tend to depend heavily on neutralization techniques such as appealing to higher loyalties, condemnation of condemners, denial of victims, denial of responsibility and invocation of normalcy. Interestingly, these techniques are used in conjunction with non-neutralization tec...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

R&D endowments at home driving R&D internationalisation: Evidence from the Italian business R&D survey
This study aims at unpacking the internal R&D determinants spurring a firm to invest in R&D abroad, that is owning R&D performing affiliates abroad. Differently from previous literature – mainly focusing on country level determinants as well as on motivations for the location choice of foreign R&D – we make a shift in the observation point. In particular, we dig deeper into the characteristics of firms' intra-mural R&D and the different types of R&D outsourcing to assess their association with R&D internationalisation. On the one hand, we account for the different types of R&D em...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

An empirical knowledge production function of agricultural research and extension: The case of the University of California Cooperative Extension
Publication date: September 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 134Author(s): Diti Chatterjee, Ariel Dinar, Gloria González-RiveraAbstractOur study examines empirically the impact of agricultural research inputs on the creation and dissemination of knowledge by the University of California Cooperative Extension (UCCE). We formulate a conceptual framework to understand the relationship between the agricultural research inputs employed by UCCE and the knowledge shared. We develop an index of knowledge based on a weighted average of the various modes through which knowledge is produced by UC...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The time-varying impacts of government incentives on innovation
Publication date: Available online 23 April 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): JingJing Zhang, Jiancheng GuanAbstractThis paper advances extant theoretical research through focusing on the time-varying effects of government fiscal incentives on the innovative performance of firms. Findings show that direct government subsidies favor firms in the short-term, but hinder them in their long-term innovation performance. Indirect tax credit, on the other hand, is favorable to a firm's short-term and long-term innovation performance. Importantly, combining resource-based theory and social capital th...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Transformative policy mixes in socio-technical scenarios: The case of the low-carbon transition of the German electricity system (2010–2050)
Publication date: Available online 23 April 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Karoline S. Rogge, Benjamin Pfluger, Frank W. GeelsAbstractMuch research and policy advice for addressing climate change has focused on developing model-based scenarios to identify pathways towards achieving decarbonisation targets. The paper's first aim is to complement such model-based analysis with insights from socio-technical transition analysis to develop socio-technical storylines that show how low-carbon transitions can be implemented. Our second aim is to explore how policymakers could govern such transiti...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

A bridging framework for studying transition pathways – From systems models to local action in the Swedish heating domain
Publication date: Available online 24 April 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Måns Nilsson, Adis Dzebo, Georgia Savvidou, Katarina AxelssonAbstractQuantitative models of transitions, such as energy systems models and integrated assessment models, do not usually represent social processes, institutions and politics. Their view of societal transitions, along with the governance required to drive them, is therefore limited. Socio-technical systems approaches, in contrast, represent the social side but lack a quantitative view of the future system. This paper addresses this by bridging an ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Big data analytics: Computational intelligence techniques and application areas
We present a case study for intelligent transportation in the context of a smart city, and a novel data modelling methodology based on a biologically inspired universal generative modelling approach called Hierarchical Spatial-Temporal State Machine (HSTSM). We further discuss various implications of policy, protection, valuation and commercialization related to Big Data, its applications and deployment. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Employment effect of innovation under different market structures: Findings from Korean manufacturing firms
Publication date: Available online 24 April 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jisun Lim, Keun LeeAbstractThis research provides empirical evidence on the employment effect of both process and product innovations under different market structures, using data from 1999 to 2009 on 11,369 manufacturing firms in Korea. Consistent to the literature, it first finds that the overall employment effect of innovations is positive, since process innovations do not have any significant effect but product innovations have positive and significant effects on employment. Then, our contribution is to estimat...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Emergence scoring to identify frontier R&D topics and key players
We present an implemented algorithm to calculate emergence scores for topical terms from abstract record sets. We offer a family of emergence indicators deriving from those scores. Primary emergence indicators identify “hot topic” terms. We then use those to generate secondary indicators that reflect organizations, countries, or authors especially active at frontiers in a target R&D domain. We also flag abstract records (papers or patents) rich in emergent technology content, and we score research fields on relative degree of emergence. This paper presents illustrative results for example topics – Nan...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Liberated firm, a leverage of well-being and technological change? A prospective study based on the scenario method
Publication date: Available online 26 April 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Lovanirina Ramboarison-Lalao, Kais GannouniAbstractIn this article, we use qualitative research with 34 assistant managers to explore the benefits of a ‘liberated firm’. Drawing on the emergence of this New Form of Work Organization (NFWO) over the last few years in France, preliminary in depth interviews conducted within two liberated firms support the assumption that there is a positive impact of this NFWO on well-being and technological change. In our attempt to confront these success stories with th...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Moving towards smart cities: Solutions that lead to the Smart City Transformation Framework
Publication date: Available online 30 April 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Harish Kumar, Manoj Kumar Singh, M.P. Gupta, Jitendra MadaanAbstractA city is a large and permanent human ecosystem which provides a lot of services and opportunities to its citizens. The rapid urbanization and increasing population have put a lot of strains on city infrastructures and service deliveries. The current urbanization requires strong strategies and innovative planning to modernize the urban life. Many cities are enhancing quality and performance of urban services by being digitalized, intelligent and sm...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Do neighboring prefectures matter in promoting eco-efficiency? Empirical evidence from China
This study investigates the spatial externality of eco-efficiency using a novel panel dataset of 191 prefectural-level cities in China covering the period 2003–2013. We apply an extended data envelopment analysis (DEA) model, while simultaneously considering metafrontier, undesirable outputs, and super-efficiency slack-based measure (Meta-US-SBM) to estimate eco-efficiency. Then, we use a two-regime spatial Durbin model to examine the spatial externality of eco-efficiency. The empirical results indicate that: 1) there are significant spatiotemporal disparities in eco-efficiency and, on average, the eco-efficiency of ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The effect of traffic density on smog pollution: Evidence from Chinese cities
In this study, the influencing mechanism of traffic density on smog pollution in cities is described from the perspectives of direct emissions, spatial agglomeration, and technology spillover effects. Based on an improved STIRPAT model, we examine a panel of 283 prefecture-level cities in China from 2003 to 2015 and find an inverted U-shaped relationship between traffic density and urban smog pollution in large and medium cities and no significant relationship in small cities. Furthermore, the traffic densities in large and medium cities are on the left side of the curve, so direct emissions remain important. The reduction...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Society-nature-technology (SNT) nexus: Institutional causes and cures of national morbidities
This article explores a nexus between society, nature and technology (SNT) in the context of a biomedical problem-solution through innovation project for a new product development in the biopharmaceutical sector. The nexus implies that social intervention is an antecedent to and consequence of nature as a type of morbidity. The central proposition is that national morbidities are partially resulting of national institutions such as policy and culture, and the national institutions partially constitute the response to through industrialisation processes and cultural habits. Based on the data from China and India as two comp...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Evolution of university-industry collaboration in Brazil from a technology upgrading perspective
Publication date: Available online 7 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Bruno Brandão Fischer, Paola Rücker Schaeffer, Nicholas S. VonortasAbstractDue to its ability to create and disseminate knowledge, the modern university is understood as a central agent in innovation systems and technology upgrading dynamics. The main objective of this article is to assess the evolution of universities' embeddedness within the innovation system of an emerging economy in terms of patenting activity and linkages to industry. The study is based on information relating to the twelve most emine...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Aligning integrated assessment modelling with socio-technical transition insights: An application to low-carbon energy scenario analysis in Europe
In this study, we present and apply an interdisciplinary approach that systematically draws qualitative insights from socio-technical transition studies to develop new quantitative scenarios for integrated assessment modelling. We identify the transition narrative as an analytical bridge between socio-technical transition studies and integrated assessment modelling. Conceptual interaction is realised through the development of two contrasting transition narratives on the role of actors in meeting the European Unions' 80% greenhouse gas emission reduction objective for 2050. The first transition narrative outlines how large...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Open innovation in SMEs: Exploring inter-organizational relationships in an ecosystem
We present an inductive case study of a particular regional ecosystem and focus on the inter-organizational collaboration between SMEs and other stakeholders in the ecosystem. With this focus, we explore how SMEs perceive, organize, and manage open innovation through strong collaborative ties with other ecosystem members. We identify a particular set of challenges for the SMEs due to the misalignment between their business model and that of their ecosystem. Specific findings include the link between innovation type expressed by diverging understandings of the notion of innovation across the ecosystem and the innovation for...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

A study on the correlation between technology innovation and the new-type urbanization in Shaanxi province
Publication date: Available online 8 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Juan Shang, Zhuo Wang, Ling Li, Yong Chen, Pengfei LiAbstractIn the past three decades, China has experienced vigorous urbanization. However, the economy-centered urbanization caused social issues and is being replaced by the new-type people-centered urbanization. Technology innovation plays a key role in urbanization. Previous studies examine the relationship between technology innovation and the traditional economy-centered urbanization. But the relationship between technology innovation and the new-type people-cent...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Book review: Energy, complexity and wealth maximization
Publication date: Available online 9 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Gökçen Arkalı OlcayAbstractThe book presents a holistic view via the windows of physics and economics to the future of the human race starting from the formation of the universe going through the evolution of the humankind throughout the ages. The author adroitly explains the role of energy as an enabler of evolution, technology and economic growth with an increasing level of complexity throughout the ages. The availability of natural wealth in forms of coal, oil, and natural gas were transformed into use...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Sustainable resource allocation for power generation: The role of big data in enabling interindustry architectural innovation
Publication date: Available online 9 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis, Hanif Malekpoor, Nishikant Mishra, Fiona Lettice, Sonal ChoudharyAbstractEconomic, social and environmental requirements make planning for a sustainable electricity generation mix a demanding endeavour. Technological innovation offers a range of renewable generation and energy management options which require fine tuning and accurate control to be successful, which calls for the use of large-scale, detailed datasets. In this paper, we focus on the UK and use Multi-Criteria Decision Making (...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Identifying emerging Research and Business Development (R&BD) areas based on topic modeling and visualization with intellectual property right data
Publication date: Available online 16 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Yujin Jeong, Inchae Park, Byungun YoonAbstractAlthough investments of R&D by government and firms have enlarged and the amount of patents has increased rapidly, R&D almost fails to commercialize for various reasons. For the purpose of decreasing failure rate of technology commercialization, it is important to identify emerging business based on technology in advance and establish appropriate strategy, leading to surviving at the market. Therefore, this paper aims to explore emerging Research and Business Deve...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

International university-university technology transfer: Strategic management framework
Publication date: Available online 18 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Kevin De Moortel, Thomas CrispeelsAbstractInternational technology transfer between universities is an emerging phenomenon and contributes to the socio-economic development of regions and countries. Technology transfer concerns transactions or long-term collaborations between acquirers and suppliers of technology. Based on strategic management theory, this study constructs a framework on the international technology transfer between universities. We theorize on the entry mode and pathway towards collaboration and app...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Overcoming transformational failures through policy mixes in the dynamics of technological innovation systems
Publication date: Available online 19 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Rob Raven, Bob WalraveAbstractThe need for challenge-led innovation policies to address grand societal challenges is increasingly recognised at various policy levels. This raises questions how to overcome a variety of ‘failures’ prohibiting innovations to flourish. A key-line of thought in theory and policy emerged since the late 1990s on the role of system failures, next to more conventional market-failure thinking. More recently, scholarly work introduced the notion of ‘transformational failures&r...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Strategic alignment of technology: Organising for technology upgrading in emerging economy firms
Publication date: Available online 22 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Stefan Bernat, Solmaz Filiz KarabagAbstractTechnology upgrading plays a crucial role in the catching-up process of emerging economy firms (EEFs) that aim to develop technological capabilities and move from imitation to innovation. The literature on emerging economies has mainly focused on how EEFs overcome the lack of technological knowledge at initial stages of catching-up while neglecting organisational issues that arise at later stages. The purpose of this study was to explore organisational activities performed b...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Editorial Board
Publication date: September 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 134Author(s): (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Level 5 autonomy: The new face of disruption in road transport
Publication date: September 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 134Author(s): Jean-Paul SkeeteAbstractBy 2020, the EU road transport sector is poised to deploy a host of advanced Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS), including connected and autonomous vehicles (AVs), that are expected to significantly ‘disrupt’ the automotive sector. This vision of the future is fuelling a virtual ‘arms race’ among automakers (OEMs), who are forging unconventional alliances and investing heavily in R&D, in anticipation of a radically changed industry. Car travel seems set to undergo a ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The determinants of network effects: Evidence from online games business ecosystems
This article not only contributes to the determinants of network effect theories, but also has implications for the practitioners in the MMORPG industry. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Creating organisational futures knowledge in Finnish companies
This article focuses on how organisations create knowledge about futures, and how these knowledge creation practices could be improved. The article is based on empirical data on Finnish companies as well as on conceptual work on the nature and the use of futures knowledge. The main message of the article is that the organisational practices of futures knowledge creation have a narrow and singular scope, they treat futures knowledge as a separate block and they are not based on best practices in foresight. We propose ways to improve the current knowledge creation practices and discuss the roles of foresight practitioners an...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

In crowdfunding we trust? Investigating crowdfunding success as a signal for enhancing trust in sustainable product features
Publication date: Available online 6 July 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Peter Wehnert, Christian V. Baccarella, Markus BeckmannAbstractCrowdfunding has been discussed as a tool for acquiring resources, a way of communicating information to potential investors, and a means of testing the market potential of entrepreneurial projects. Yet, little is known about how successful crowdfunding influences consumers' perceptions about a product or its features. We assume that mentioning a successful crowdfunding campaign in a product advertisement can provide valuable quality signals. Such signals...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

A modeling approach for evaluating green performance of a hotel supply chain
This study aims to develop a tool to evaluate and compare green performances of hotel supply chains. For this purpose, fifteen green criteria, which are then classified as basic green practices and advanced green practices, are extracted from related studies. Later, importance weights of these criteria are determined with the contributions of twenty hotel managers in Turkey. The results indicate that the basic green practices are regarded more important by the managers than the advanced ones. In addition, a fuzzy Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method is proposed to get a green perfo...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The impact of firms' mergers and acquisitions on their performance in emerging economies
Publication date: Available online 24 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Weihong Zhang, Kecheng Wang, Ling Li, Yong Chen, Xinmeng WangAbstractThis paper explores the relationship between mergers and acquisitions and firm performance by running a partial least squares regression with the data of listed Chinese pharmaceutical firms from 2008 to 2016. The results show that when other conditions are unchanged, value-chain-extension mergers and acquisitions and technology-seeking mergers and acquisitions are positively related to firm performance, and that the correlation between mixed mergers...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technology upgrading through co-creation of value in developing societies: Analysis of the mobile telephone industry in Bangladesh
Publication date: Available online 24 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Bidit L. Dey, Mujahid Mohiuddin Babu, Mizan Rahman, Manoj Dora, Nishikant MishraAbstractThe use of various forms of ICTs (information communication technology) such as mobile telephones can foster the socio-economic progression of developing countries. Contextually appropriate design and use are needed for ICTs to deliver value to various parties within the socio-economic spheres of developing countries who have different needs and wants compared to those of the developed world. There is however scant empirical evide...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Scientific research driven by large-scale infrastructure projects: A case study of the Three Gorges Project in China
Publication date: Available online 26 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Hanchen Jiang, Maoshan Qiang, Qixiang Fan, Mengqing ZhangAbstractLarge-scale infrastructure projects have important strategic positions in economy and social development, especially in developing countries, and are growing constantly larger and more complex. During the life cycle of a large-scale infrastructure project, technological problems and environmental and socio-economic impacts drive relevant scientific research. However, few empirical studies have been conducted to examine the interaction between project an...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technological reflectiveness from a managerial capability perspective
Publication date: Available online 29 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Nelson Andrade-Valbuena, Juan Pablo TorresAbstractThe purpose of this research is to analyze how managers reflect on technological shifts when they recognize opportunities to innovate in their organizations. We conceptualize that a deliberated reflection of technological shifts enhances the manager's disposition for promoting the use of new technological releases in the development of innovation processes. We obtain evidence supporting that reflection on technological shifts mediates the relationship between manageri...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Searching for new breakthroughs in science: How effective are computerised detection algorithms?
In this study, we design, develop, implement and test an analytical framework and measurement model to detect scientific discoveries with ‘breakthrough’ characteristics. To do so, we have developed a series of computerised search algorithms that data mine large quantities of research publications. These algorithms facilitate early-stage detection of ‘breakout’ papers that emerge as highly cited and distinctive and are considered to be potential breakthroughs. Combining computer-aided data mining with decision heuristics, enabled us to assess structural changes within citation patterns with the inter...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

External complexities in discontinuous innovation-based R&D projects: Analysis of inter-firm collaborative partnerships that lead to abundance
Publication date: Available online 29 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Nazrul Islam, Stanley Gyoshev, Daniel AmonaAbstractAs a discontinuous technology, nanotechnology is a highly intensive research and development (R&D) field with a high level of interaction between actors across sectors and international borders. This paper analyses the external complexities that influence the key dimensions of collaborative partnerships in discontinuous innovation-based nanotech R&D projects across Europe. Drawing on theories of inter-organizational partnerships, we examine the external deter...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Analyzing the factors influencing cloud computing adoption using three stage hybrid SEM-ANN-ISM (SEANIS) approach
This study proposed new determinants, namely risk analysis and perceived IT security risk as an extension of the Technology Organization Environment (TOE) model. The data collected from the industry experts were analyzed using SEM and ANN approaches. The results of SEM revealed that trust (T), management style (MS), technology innovation (TI), risk analysis (RA), and perceived IT security risk (PITR) exercised a significant influence on CCA. The SEM results were taken as inputs for the ANN approach and ISM methodology. The results of ANN highlighted that perceived IT security risk, trust, and management style were the most...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Tracing the system transformations and innovation pathways of an emerging technology: Solid lipid nanoparticles
This study proposes an integrated framework for identifying a range of potential innovation pathways and commercial applications for solid lipid nanoparticles – one particularly promising contender within the field of nano-enabled drug delivery. Several text mining techniques – term clumping, SAO technique, and net effect analysis – as well as technology roadmapping, are combined with expert judgment to identify the main areas of R&D in this field, and to track their evolution over time. Through analysis, data from multiple sources, including research publications, patents, and commercial press, revea...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The moderating effect of hospital size on inter and intra-organizational factors of Hospital Information System adoption
Publication date: Available online 31 May 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Hossein Ahmadi, Mehrbakhsh Nilashi, Leila Shahmoradi, Othman Ibrahim, Farahnaz Sadoughi, Mojtaba Alizadeh, Azar AlizadehAbstractHealthcare is a highly institutionalized industry, subject to multiple regulatory forces, high levels of professionalism, and growing network externalities which may affect the decisions to adopt. Hence, this research integrates the Resource Dependence Theory (RDT), institutional theory along with Human Organization Technology (HOT) fit model as the organization theories to explain the adopt...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technological composition of US metropolitan statistical areas with high-impact patents
Publication date: Available online 5 June 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Hyo Shin Choi, So Young Sohn, Ho Jeong YeomAbstractBased on citations per patent (CPP) published from August 2010 to July 2015, this study identifies the technological impact structure of regions across US metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). Gini coefficients are used to compare the CPP concentration levels of MSAs, while exploratory factor analysis is applied to identify the colocation of CPP fields. Hot spots of CPP factors are explored using Getis-Ord Gi*. The results reveal variations among the CPP concentrati...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Towards a higher socio-economic impact through shared understanding of product requirements in emerging markets: The case of the Indian healthcare innovations
Publication date: Available online 5 June 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Nivedita Agarwal, Alexander Brem, Michael GrottkeAbstractEmerging markets are considered to have huge economic potential, both for entrepreneurs and established firms. To foster innovation in these markets, it is important that customers and companies use the same terminology, with the same understanding of key terms. But is this really the case? Based on eight product requirements, this research empirically analyzes the perception of emerging market innovation terminologies. For this, we use the case of the Indian h...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technology in the 21st century: New challenges and opportunities
Publication date: Available online 12 June 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jie Sheng, Joseph Amankwah-Amoah, Xiaojun WangAbstractAlthough big data, big data analytics (BDA) and business intelligence have attracted growing attention of both academics and practitioners, a lack of clarity persists about how BDA has been applied in business and management domains. In reflecting on Professor Ayre's contributions, we want to extend his ideas on technological change by incorporating the discourses around big data, BDA and business intelligence. With this in mind, we integrate the burgeoning but d...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

How do companies organize nascent markets? The BlaBlaCar case in the inter-city shared mobility market
This study explores how an online market platform, BlaBlaCar, has been able to organize the nascent market of inter-city shared mobility. Data were gathered via three in-depth interviews with BlaBlaCar's managers, more than two hundred newspaper articles and other archival information. Using an inductive qualitative approach, the case analysis reveals that in claiming, demarcating and controlling the market, BlaBlaCar has adopted a unique course of action while also leveraging on specific social media functional building blocks for creating, extending and locking-in the community of its users. The study concludes with impl...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

How structural embeddedness leads to pioneering orientation
Publication date: Available online 12 June 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): María J. Ruiz-Ortega, Pedro M. García-Villaverde, Gloria Parra-RequenaAbstractThis paper studies the influence of structural embeddedness (SE) on pioneering orientation (PO) in the Spanish shoe industry. The results obtained indicate that SE has a curvilinear relationship (inverted U-shape) with PO. This curvilinear relationship is moderated by both technological and marketing capabilities in opposite directions. While the relationship is weaker with an increase in technological capabilities, it is str...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

From my perspective: The globalization paradox
Publication date: Available online 12 June 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Fred Phillips (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

“Forced technology transfer” policies: Workings in China and strategic implications
Publication date: Available online 13 June 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Dan Prud'homme, Max von Zedtwitz, Joachim Jan Thraen, Martin BaderAbstractThis paper evaluates the ability of “forced technology transfer” (FTT) policies – i.e., policies meant to increase foreign-domestic technology transfer that simultaneously weaken appropriability of foreign innovations – to contribute to technology transfer. We focus on transfer of frontier technology in China's newly designated “strategic emerging industries” (SEIs). Drawing on a survey of foreign firms, ext...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 6, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research