Impacts of proactive orientation and entrepreneurial strategy on entrepreneurial performance: An empirical research
This study effectively integrated the entrepreneurship theory and the strategy theory to explore the relationship between proactive orientation and entrepreneurial performance, as well as the moderating effect of the entrepreneurial strategy. Using 235 new ventures in China, we found that: under lower level of industrial pressure, the relationship between proactive orientation and entrepreneurial performance is positive, the moderating effect of moderate strategy and competitive strategy is also positive. However, under higher level of industrial pressure, the relationship between proactive orientation and entrepreneurial ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 5, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Relating science and technology resources integration and polarization effect to innovation ability in emerging economies: An empirical study of Chinese enterprises
Publication date: October 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 135Author(s): Gongyi Zhang, Shukuan Zhao, Yujuan Xi, Na Liu, Xiaobo XuAbstractBased on general theoretical analyses of the integration of scientific and technological resources and polarization effect, we proposed a research model to explore the relationship between the integration of scientific and technological resources, polarization effect, and enterprise's innovation ability in emerging economies, specifically using the data from Chinese enterprises. We empirically found that polarization effect can be used as the intermediary va...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 5, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Impact of payment technology innovations on the traditional financial industry: A focus on China
This study adopts the Vector Auto-Regression (VAR) impulse response model to analyze the impact of Internet Third-Party Payment (TPP) on the traditional financial industry from 2007 to 2014. The empirical results suggest that in China, third-party payments have had a significant positive correlation with the value creation capabilities of traditional financial industries, and that this relationship tends to remain in a steady state in the long term. Based on these findings, this paper confirms that the technological innovation of methods of payment in emerging economies, such as China, has promoted the development of the f...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 5, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Exploring the mechanism of technology standardization and innovation using the solidification theory of binary eutectic alloy
Publication date: October 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 135Author(s): Hong Jiang, Shukuan Zhao, Zuopeng (Justin) Zhang, Yali YiAbstractTechnology standardization and technology development play an important role in promoting the competitiveness of businesses and enterprises. Therefore, it is crucial to thoroughly analyze and understand their functions and working mechanisms. Based on the theoretical analysis of the mechanisms of technology standardization and innovation, this paper made modeling efforts on the technology standardization process, the internal working mechanisms of technolog...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 5, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Work-family conflict, organizational ambidexterity and new venture legitimacy in emerging economies
Publication date: October 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 135Author(s): Xiaoyu Yu, Xiaotong Meng, Yi Chen, Yingying Chen, Bang NguyenAbstractFor entrepreneurs, work and family are inextricably intertwined. Entrepreneurship literature provides inadequate accounts on the relationship between entrepreneurs' work-family conflict (WFC) and new venture legitimacy, and the underlying mechanism. We categorize WFC into work interference with family (WIF) and family interference with work (FIW), and develop a conceptual framework to explore the mediating effects of organizational ambidexterity, the si...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 5, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The adaptive mechanism between technology standardization and technology development: An empirical study
Publication date: October 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 135Author(s): Hong Jiang, Shukuan Zhao, Siwen Zhang, Xiaobo XuAbstractThe relationship between economy and technology has become more and more important, especially for emerging economies. The flow of capital, talents, information, technology, and other resources has increased the competition among enterprises. Technology standardization has been used to enhance enterprises' technical strength and accelerate the industrial technology development. However, technology standardization and technology development can promote each other onl...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 5, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

A systematic review of the smart home literature: A user perspective
Publication date: Available online 3 September 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Davit Marikyan, Savvas Papagiannidis, Eleftherios AlamanosAbstractA smart home is a residence equipped with smart technologies aimed at providing tailored services for users. Smart technologies make it possible to monitor, control and support residents, which can enhance the quality life and promote independent living. To facilitate the implementation and adoption of smart home technology it is important to examine the user's perspective and the current state of smart homes. Given the fast pace with which the li...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 4, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Right on time - Socioecological strategy and implications of turbulence in the Swiss watchmaking field
Publication date: Available online 3 September 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jonas Hoffmann, Rafael Ramirez, Laurent LecampAbstractWe explore how the socio-ecological approach to strategy extends and enriches current theory on fields (especially Fligstein and McAdam, 2012). We do so with a socio-ecological (Ramirez and Selsky, 2016) lens which helps us analyse how contention and change work in conditions of turbulence, conditions where macro-level issues play a central role in transforming a field. Our empirical exploration of the Swiss watchmaking field in its current turbulent causal t...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 4, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technology usage, expected job sustainability, and perceived job insecurity
This study analyzes U.S.-based survey data from the Pew Research Center and explores the relationships between perceived job insecurity, technology usage, and long-term projection on the transition toward the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Keen attention to the upcoming predicted changes in job, work, and employment due to technological revolution, such as robotics and artificial intelligence, will help fill a gap in prior research that heavily emphasized organizational and psychological aspects of job insecurity. The findings show that employees' present perception of job insecurity is highly associated with technology usa...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - September 1, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Time preference and consumer discount rates - Insights for accelerating the adoption of efficient energy and transport technologies
Publication date: Available online 28 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Gary Haq, Martin WeissAbstractThe adoption of efficient energy and transport technologies often depends on how consumers discount energy savings. Understanding the rate of discounting and the choices consumers make is therefore essential for successful energy efficiency policy. Here, we review pertinent discount rates, identify factors influencing consumer preferences, and derive recommendations for policy makers. We find that consumers apply discount rates of 19 ± 17% when purchasing efficient energy a...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 30, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Intermediaries for knowledge transfer in integrated energy planning of urban districts
Publication date: Available online 24 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Carmel Lindkvist, Eszter Juhasz-Nagy, Brita Fladvad Nielsen, Hans-Martin Neumann, Gabriele Lobaccaro, Annemie Wyckmans (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 25, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technology Roadmapping (TRM): a systematic review of the literature focusing on models
Publication date: Available online 24 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Douglas Pedro de Alcantara, Mauro Luiz MartensAbstractThe Technology Roadmapping (TRM) approach has been applied and disseminated among organizations of diverse sizes, from small enterprises to major government policy projects, to achieve an effective alignment of an organization's strategic objectives with technologies related to the products and considered key elements for the success of several businesses. Research has been done to contribute to new models of the TRM approach that can result in improved results...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 25, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Assessing the interplay between crowdfunding and sustainability in social media
Publication date: Available online 24 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Christofer Laurell, Christian Sandström, Yuliani SusenoAbstractThis paper aims to assess the degree to which sustainability-oriented dimensions are integrated within the public discourse on crowdfunding in social media. Utilizing Social Media Analytics (SMA), we track discussions on crowdfunding in user-generated content published in social media. Based on an empirical material of 141,754 user-generated content, we identify 308 entries (0.21 percent) explicitly or implicitly relating to sustainability and 80 ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 25, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Institutional determinants of R&D investment: Evidence from emerging markets
Publication date: Available online 24 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Ashraful Alam, Moshfique Uddin, Hassan YazdifarAbstractInstitutional environment of a country plays an important role for innovation activities. Our results confirm that external environment of emerging countries influence the R&D investment. Using Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation of panel data for 664 firms from selected 20 emerging markets during the period of 2006–2013, we find that institutional quality has significant impact on R&D investment. The results show that government effec...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 25, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Standards battles for business-to-government data exchange: Identifying success factors for standard dominance using the Best Worst Method
Publication date: Available online 24 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Geerten van de Kaa, Marijn Janssen, Jafar RezaeiAbstractBusinesses are obliged to report all kinds of data to the government. In the past this was paper-based, and over time Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) types of solutions have been implemented. The new eXtensible Business Reporting Language (XBRL) standard seems to have replaced EDI types of solutions. This paper applies the Best Worst Method to identify the key factors that lead to the dominance of these business reporting standards. The results show that th...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 25, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Identifying convergence fields and technologies for industrial safety: LDA-based network analysis
Publication date: Available online 23 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Bomi Song, Yongyoon SuhAbstractAs industrial systems expand and complex systems are developed, it is no longer effective to minimize hazards and risks for industrial safety using the technological solutions limited to a single industry. Thus, to resolve complicated problems, safety technology has been developed by promoting technology innovation and convergence. In this respect, this study aims at monitoring major safety fields and technologies through patent analysis to identify the trends in technology developme...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 24, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Extracting commercialization opportunities of the Internet of Things: Measuring text similarity between papers and patents
Publication date: Available online 21 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Yasutomo Takano, Yuya KajikawaAbstractIn the field of technology management, methods have been developed to detect technologies that are important in industry by analyzing massive numbers of documents. Such methods have been applied to the field of the Internet of Things as well to investigate technological trends. The Internet of Things consists of several conventional concepts, such as radio frequency identification, near field communication, and sensor networks. However, no research compares these technologies ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 21, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Timing is everything: A technology transition framework for regulatory and market readiness levels
Publication date: Available online 19 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Peter H. Kobos, Leonard A. Malczynski, La Tonya N. Walker, David J. Borns, Geoffrey T. KliseAbstractMeeting technology-based policy goals without sufficient lead time may present several technology, regulatory and market-based challenges due to the speed of technological adoption in existing and emerging markets. Installing incremental amounts of technologies, e.g., cleaner fossil, renewable or transformative energy technologies throughout the coming decades, may prove to be a more attainable goal than a radical a...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 19, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Open innovation at the interorganizational network level – Stretching practices to face technological discontinuities in the semiconductor industry
Publication date: Available online 17 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jörg Sydow, Gordon Müller-SeitzAbstractPrevious studies on open innovation have primarily adopted the perspective of single firms. Against this background we explore how open innovation is managed at the network level for the case of the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (ITRS). Using a longitudinal case study, we report on how the ITRS deals with a technological discontinuity affecting the whole industry, namely the pursuit of an existing technological paradigm using a well-established...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 18, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Establishing open innovation culture in cluster initiatives: The role of trust and information asymmetry
Publication date: Available online 16 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Volker Nestle, Florian A. Täube, Sven Heidenreich, Marcel BogersAbstractExtant research has found superior performance of firms located in clusters. However, it is unclear whether this is based on mere proximity or other unobserved factors. We extend this literature by developing a framework to examine in what way institutions promote open innovation processes between clustered firms. Specifically, we develop a set of hypotheses to investigate to what extent structural and relational elements in a cluster org...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 17, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Do immigration and social media facilitate or inhibit cognitive acculturation? The role of individual dialecticism in dual-focused cultural stimuli evaluation
Publication date: Available online 16 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Weisha Wang, Ibrahim AbosagAbstractSocial media and immigration influence individuals' acculturation experiences. Studies that compare the influences of immigration-based versus social media-based acculturation on cognition are limited. By focusing on acculturalization in Chinese individuals (migrant versus social media users) and through two studies, this research examines whether two types of acculturation experience have different degrees of impact on Chinese individuals' dialectical thinking– the tendenc...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 17, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Uncovering the dynamics of market convergence through M&A
Publication date: Available online 16 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Lukas Jan Aaldering, Jens Leker, Chie Hoon SongAbstractDespite the significance of converging markets as a new competitive paradigm to change how organizations function and produce value, little attention has been devoted to investigating the evolutionary path of market convergence and understanding the potential of its market development in the future. In this paper, the extent to which the biotechnology industry shows tendencies to converge with adjacent market segments is explored. By taking both a retrospectiv...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 17, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

What bangs for your buck? Assessing the design and impact of Dutch transformative policy
Publication date: Available online 16 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Matthijs J. JanssenAbstractAfter an era of generic support for economic development and innovation, narrowly targeted policy is back on the table. Recent advances in the fields of new industrial policy (NIP) and transition thinking converge on the idea that achieving structural change requires governments, industry and research to collaborate in formulating targeted yet adaptive strategies.The associated emergence of transformative policy, characterized as being selective, process-oriented and multi-instrumental, ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 17, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Energy transitions and social revolutions
Publication date: Available online 16 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Marina Fischer-Kowalski, Elena Rovenskaya, Fridolin Krausmann, Irene Pallua, John R. Mc NeillAbstractThe transition from a traditional agrarian to a fossil fuel based energy regime began before the industrial revolution and is still ongoing. This paper explores the relation of this transition process and social revolutions. Using statistical analysis, we find that at the very beginning of countries' energy transition, a critical phase can be identified, within which social revolutions are most likely to happen. Th...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 17, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Predicting Sustainable Economic Welfare – Analysis and perspectives for Luxembourg based on energy policy scenarios
Publication date: Available online 14 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Benedetto Rugani, Antonino Marvuglia, Federico Maria PulselliAbstractAmbitious energy policies have been established in Luxembourg, which has one of the highest Gross Domestic Products (GDP) per capita in the world but still much depends on imported fuels and electricity. Born as an alternative to GDP, the Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare (ISEW) is applied in this study as a framework to predict socio-economic and environmental performances of Luxembourg in relation to energy policy scenarios. The ISEW for th...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 14, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Infrastructures, intersections and societal transformations
Publication date: Available online 13 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Noel Cass, Tim Schwanen, Elizabeth ShoveAbstractThere is renewed and increasing interest in understanding the part that infrastructures play in societal transformations, especially in response to the various challenges of climate change. Studies that focus on these issues tend to examine infrastructures in isolation from each other, and tend to work with evolutionary accounts of incremental change punctuated by short periods of radical innovation. This paper questions both these abstractions. Using four empirical ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 14, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Systematic method for finding emergence research areas as data quality
Publication date: Available online 13 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Babak Sohrabi, Ahmad KhalilijafarabadAbstractThe analysis of the transformation and changes in scientific disciplines has always been a critical path for policymakers and researchers. The current study examines the changes in the research areas of data and information quality (DIQ). The aim of this study was to detect different types of changes occurring in the scientific areas including birth, death, growth, decline, merge, and splitting. A model has been developed for this data mining. To test the model, all DIQ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 14, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Analysing transition pathways in developing cities: The case of Nairobi's splintered sanitation regime
Publication date: Available online 10 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Mara J. van Welie, Pauline C. Cherunya, Bernhard Truffer, James T. MurphyAbstractToday's rapid global urbanization highlights the need for long-term transformations of basic service sectors in developing cities in order to improve the livelihoods of the urban poor. Sustainability transitions frameworks have proven fruitful for addressing these sort of challenges. However, they have been at pains so far in accounting for the heterogeneity and complexities that typically characterize informal settlements in the Glob...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Identifying translational indicators and technology opportunities for nanomedical research using tech mining: The case of gold nanostructures
In this study, we explore the feasibility of using a streamlined tech mining approach for identification of translational indicators and potential opportunities, using observable markers extracted from selected research literature. We apply this strategy to analyze a set of 23,982 PubMed records that involved gold nanostructures (GNSs) research. Nine indicators are generated to assess what different GNSs research activities had achieved and to predict where GNSs research will likely go. We believe such analysis can provide useful translation intelligence for researchers, funding agencies, and pharmaceutical and biotech com...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Estimation of resource-specific technological change
Publication date: Available online 10 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Taoyuan Wei, Yang LiuAbstractTechnological change plays a critical role in economic growth. Prevailing approaches to estimation of total technological change are associated with total factor productivity (TFP) based on a Cobb-Douglas (CD) production function. To estimate resource-specific technological change, previous studies typically assume an alternative specific functional form other than a CD function such as a Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) function. In this article, we argue that under certain c...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

A method for anticipating the disruptive nature of digitalization in the machine-building industry
Publication date: Available online 9 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Matti Sommarberg, Saku J. MäkinenAbstractThe purpose of this paper is to create a technology foresight method in which the visual analogue scale is used to harness the wisdom of expert crowds, namely, industry experts, in anticipating potential disruptions in an industry. In an empirical demonstration, we investigate experts' views and perceptions of possible future disruption caused by digitalization in an established machine-building industry. We demonstrate the usability of the proposed method in detecting ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The effect of GVC embeddedness on productivity improvement: From the perspective of R&D and government subsidy
Publication date: October 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 135Author(s): Jiali Ge, Yang Fu, Rui Xie, Yu Liu, Wenyang MoAbstractWe use the 2000–2007 Chinese firm-level data to measure firms' embeddedness in the global value chain (GVC), and employ the entropy balance (EB) method to investigate the effect of GVC participation on enterprise productivity. The results show that China's manufacturing enterprises experience significant productivity improvement effects from GVC embeddedness. Specifically, this effect is obvious in capital-intensive, technology-intensive, and general trading ent...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 10, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Online labour index: Measuring the online gig economy for policy and research
We present the Online Labour Index (OLI), an experimental economic indicator that approximates the conventional labour market statistic of new open vacancies. It measures the utilization of online labour across countries and occupations by tracking the number of projects and tasks posted on major online gig platforms in near-real time. The purpose of this article is to introduce the OLI and describe the methodology behind it. We also demonstrate how it can be used to address previously unanswered questions about the online gig economy. To benefit policymakers, labour market researchers and the general public, our results a...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 8, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Light the way for smart cities: Lessons from Philips Lighting
Publication date: Available online 8 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Kati Brock, Elke den Ouden, Kees van der Klauw, Ksenia Podoynitsyna, Fred LangerakAbstractSmart cities are one of the dominant manifestations of digitization with a multimillion dollar potential, where cities and companies alike are looking for ways to create and capture value. Technology-driven companies are key to making smart cities a reality, but their current product-centric business models do not meet the changing needs anymore. Based on an in-depth study at Philips Lighting of four smart city cases across a ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 8, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Measuring GDP in the digital economy: Increasing dependence on uncaptured GDP
Publication date: Available online 8 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Chihiro Watanabe, Kashif Naveed, Yuji Tou, Pekka NeittaanmäkiAbstractAs revealed by Tapscott in his best-seller The Digital Economy published in 1994, the Internet has dramatically changed the way of conducting business and our daily lives. Further advancement of digital innovation, including cloud, mobile services, and artificial intelligence, has augmented this change significantly and provided us with extraordinary services and welfare never anticipated before. However, contrary to such an accomplishment, p...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 8, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Understanding smart cities as a glocal strategy: A comparison between Italy and China
Publication date: Available online 7 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Renata Paola Dameri, Clara Benevolo, Eleonora Veglianti, Yaya LiAbstractSmart city can be seen as a glocal phenomenon, as it is characterised by both global and local aspects. Smart cities are a global phenomenon because they spread all over the world and emerge with similar features and interdependencies at the global level. In the meantime, smart cities are a local phenomenon, because each city is unique, has different problems and should address them with specific solutions. The aim of this work is to better und...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 8, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Does R&D investment increase SME survival during a recession?
Publication date: Available online 7 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Hyejin Jung, JungTae Hwang, Byung-Keun KimAbstractUsing data from 588 Korean small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for 2008–2014, this study investigates whether R&D investment can affect the probability of a firm's survival during a recession period. We find that the effect of R&D investment is not identical in all firms. R&D investment is shown to be a poor choice for general firms to survive; however, it is an effective strategy for firms that are innovative and capable of producing intelle...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 8, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Is economic globalization good or bad for the environmental quality? New evidence from dynamic heterogeneous panel models
Publication date: Available online 7 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Zhike Lv, Ting XuAbstractThis paper employs advanced panel econometric techniques that allow for heterogeneous slope coefficients and cross-section dependence to investigate the impact of economic globalization on CO2 emissions in 15 emerging countries over the period 1970–2012. The results demonstrate that, in the long-run, a 1% increase in economic globalization reduces CO2 emissions by −0.11%, and these results are robust across different estimation techniques. Our novel finding not only help advance...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 8, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

National innovation policies for technology upgrading through GVCs: A cross-country comparison
Publication date: Available online 7 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Sandrine KergroachAbstractThis paper considers how innovation policy mixes are designed for increasing a country's participation in global value chains (GVCs) and accelerating industrial and technological upgrading. A benchmarking concept compares science, technology and innovation (STI) policies across countries taking into account country absorptive capacities, performance in GVCs and the way these policies are embedded in the national STI policy context. Data cover selected OECD and emerging economies drawing on...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 8, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

An exploration of smart city approaches by international ICT firms
Publication date: Available online 3 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Daniel van den Buuse, Ans KolkAbstractAs part of the growing interest in cities to address persistent sustainability issues in society, ‘smart cities’ have increasingly become a ubiquitous phenomenon globally. For multinational enterprises (MNEs), this has provided opportunities to develop and market technological innovations to facilitate the creation of smart cities, given that the deployment of information and communication technology (ICT) is commonly considered to be a central tenet of smart cities...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 4, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

To the smart city and beyond? Developing a typology of smart urban innovation
Publication date: Available online 4 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Maja NilssenAbstractThe smart city is an increasingly popular topic in urban development, arousing both excitement and skepticism. However, despite increasing enthusiasm regarding the smartness of cities, the concept is still regarded as somewhat evasive. Encouraged by the multifaceted character of the concept, this article examines how we can categorize the different dimensions often included in the smart city concept, and how these dimensions are coupled to innovation. Furthermore, the article examines the implic...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 4, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The effect of broadband internet on divorce in China
Publication date: Available online 3 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Shilin Zheng, Yuwei Duan, Michael R. WardAbstractThere has been growing concern over the dramatically increasing number of divorces in China over the past two decades. We use provincial data from 2002 to 2014 to shed light examine what role the Internet has had on the number of divorces. We find that growing levels of broadband internet penetration and usage have significantly affected the propensity for divorce. The number of divorces grew by 0.008% for every 1% increase in the number of broadband subscribers. Ins...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 4, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Long-term forecasts of military technologies for a 20–30 year horizon: An empirical assessment of accuracy
Publication date: Available online 3 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Alexander Kott, Philip PercontiAbstractDuring the 1990s, while exploring the impact of the collapse of the Soviet Union on developments in future warfare, a number of authors offered forecasts of military technology appearing by the year 2020. The forecasts covered diverse systems ranging from unmanned systems to guns to missiles to electronic warfare. This paper offers a quantitative assessment of the accuracy of this group of forecasts. The overall accuracy — by several measures — was assessed as quit...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 4, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Knowledge management: A global examination based on bibliometric analysis
This article presents a bibliometric overview of the academic research on KM in the business and management areas. Various bibliometric methods are used to perform this overview, including performance analysis and science mapping of the KM field. The performance analysis uses a series of bibliometric indicators, such as the h-index, productivity and citations. In addition, the VOSviewer software is used to map the bibliographic material. Science mapping uses co-citations and the concurrency of keywords. References were obtained from the Web of Science database. We identified and classified the most relevant research in the...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 3, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technological entrepreneurship and socio-economic change in BRIC countries
Publication date: Available online 3 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Sohail Chaudhry, Li Da Xu, Xiong Fei Cao (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 3, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The impact of pre-entry experiences on entry decisions and firm survival
Publication date: Available online 2 August 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): KwangWook GangAbstractA successful transition from existing submarkets to newly emerged submarkets is critical to explain a firm's survival in an industry. One stream of prior literature has focused on the role of prior experience in successful market transitions and firm survival. Unfortunately, previous studies have arrived at inconsistent results. In this paper, we explore the issue by investigating firm entry strategies in the magnetic tape drive industry from 1983 to 2002. We find that the number of years spen...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - August 2, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technological speciation as a source for emerging technologies. Using semantic patent analysis for the case of camera technology
Publication date: Available online 31 July 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Martin G. Moehrle, Hüseyin CaferogluAbstractIn this paper we present a novel method which enables an early and direct detection of technologies emerging from a mainstream technology due to technological speciation. This method uses variables that were originally introduced to characterize emerging technologies such as novelty, persistence, growth, and community. It is applicable to mainstream technologies and relies mainly on semantic patent analysis. We test it in the field of camera technology, which has a lo...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 31, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technological challenges of green innovation and sustainable resource management with large scale data
Publication date: Available online 31 July 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Malin Song, Ron Fisher, Yusen KwohAbstractThis Special Volume (SV) focuses on finding effective ways to achieve sustainable development. This introductory article contains an overview of the articles, divided into four topics: (a) sustainable natural resource management based on large scale data (b) environmental pollution and prevention through large scale data, (c) technological challenges involving green innovation, and (d) big data modeling and mining involving green growth. Taking into account the seriousness o...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 31, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Smart innovative cities: The impact of Smart City policies on urban innovation
Publication date: Available online 31 July 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Andrea Caragliu, Chiara F. Del BoAbstractSmart City policies have attracted relevant attention and funding over the last few years. While the time seems now ripe to conclude that such policies have a positive impact on urban economic growth, the picture is much less clear when looking at the microfoundations of this effect.In this paper we look at the urban innovation impact of Smart City policies. In fact, typical Smart City projects imply the involvement not only of major multinational corporations, along with loc...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 31, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

An evaluation system based on the self-organizing system framework of smart cities: A case study of smart transportation systems in China
Publication date: Available online 30 July 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jianghui Yan, Jinping Liu, Fang-Mei TsengAbstractSmart cities have been developing aggressively around the globe, especially in China. As of 2017, more than 1000 cities in the world have commenced smart city developments, half of which are in China. However, there is not a uniform and clear understanding of smart city systems; this may affect their evaluation/planning and lead to misguided construction. Smart cities are characterized by complex self-organizing systems, and thus their sustainable and healthy developm...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - July 31, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research