Effect of entrepreneurial framework conditions on R&D transfer to new and growing firms: The case of European Union innovation-driven countries
Publication date: April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 141Author(s): Elisabete S. Sá, José Carlos M.R. de PinhoAbstractPublic investment in Research and Development (R&D) can give a strong contribution to economic development, provided that knowledge is successfully transferred to industry. Although larger and established firms have been taking on priority in this process, new and growing firms may also be important vehicles of knowledge exploitation. However, this route has received limited attention, particularly regarding the contextual conditions that may favour R&...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 3, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The theory of technological parasitism for the measurement of the evolution of technology and technological forecasting
This study suggests a new perspective based on the theory of technological parasitism, which can measure and assess the dynamics of technological evolution for technological forecasting. In particular, the evolution of technology is modelled here in terms of interaction between a host technology (system) and a parasitic technology (subsystem). The coefficient of evolutionary growth of the model here indicates the evolution of parasitic technology in relation to host technology, suggesting the evolutionary pathway of overall system of technology over time (i.e., underdevelopment, growth and development). This approach is il...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 31, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Robust forecasting of electricity prices: Simulations, models and the impact of renewable sources
Publication date: Available online 29 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Luigi Grossi, Fany NanAbstractIn this paper a robust approach to modeling electricity spot prices is introduced. Differently from what has been recently done in the literature on electricity price forecasting, where the attention has been mainly drawn by the prediction of spikes, the focus of this contribution is on the robust estimation of nonlinear SETARX models (Self-Exciting Threshold Auto Regressive models with eXogenous regressors). In this way, parameter estimates are not, or very lightly, influenced by th...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 31, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Trade-offs in land-use competition and sustainable land development in the North China Plain
Publication date: April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 141Author(s): Gui Jin, Kun Chen, Pei Wang, Baishu Guo, Yin Dong, Jun YangAbstractUsing the Computable General Equilibrium of Land Use Change (CGELUC) and Dynamics of Land System (DLS) models, we simulated land-use structures and patterns in Shandong Province in 2025 under three scenarios: baseline, resource consumption, and green development. Compared with the situation in 2015, a slight decrease in grassland, cultivated, and unused land was evident under the green development scenario. Forest land cover remained basically unchanged, wh...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 31, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Does knowledge base complexity affect spatial patterns of innovation? An empirical analysis in the upstream petroleum industry
Publication date: Available online 29 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Ali Maleki, Alessandro RosielloAbstractUsing network analysis, we investigate if an industry's complex and integrated knowledge base leads to a higher spatial concentration (or dispersal) of innovative activities. This is important because the extant literature provides competing claims about how knowledge base complexity impacts on the spatial distribution of industrial innovation. To help empirically resolve this issue, we draw on longitudinal data (1970–2010) on the upstream petroleum industry and build ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 29, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Contextual influences on new technology ventures: A study of domestic firms in Ghana
This study examines the mechanisms and processes that explain the contextual influences on the development of new technology ventures. Based on interviews with technology entrepreneurs in Ghana, we developed a three-phase dynamic process model that demonstrates how institutional factors interact with firm-specific factors to influence entrepreneurial development. We identified constraints such as lack of access to financial credit, inadequate infrastructure, and human capital and resource constraints in Phase I, followed by formulating post-formation strategy in Phase II. Phase III focused on strategies for overcoming the ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Narratives of integration: Liminality in migrant acculturation through social media
Publication date: Available online 24 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Amit Mitra, Quang EvansluongAbstractMigrant integration is a long drawn out process requiring synergies with various dimensions of life, rhyming with those of the host country. In this paper, we attempt to deconstruct the digital narratives of migrants to explore how they may lead to a meaningful assessment of their acculturation and consequent integration in their host societies'. Drawing on acculturation theory as a lens, we argue that migrants' use of social media creates a liminality that is synonymous to amb...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 25, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Forecasting technology trends using text mining of the gaps between science and technology: The case of perovskite solar cell technology
Publication date: Available online 23 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Xin Li, Qianqian Xie, Tugrul Daim, Lucheng HuangAbstractHow to detect and identify the future trends of emerging technologies as early as possible is crucial for government R&D strategic planning and enterprises' practices. To avoid the weakness of using only scientific papers or patents to study the development trends of emerging technologies, this paper proposes a framework that uses scientific papers and patents as data resources and integrates the text mining and expert judgment approaches to identify tec...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 24, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Expert forecast and realized outcomes in technology foresight
Publication date: Available online 22 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Riccardo Apreda, Andrea Bonaccorsi, Felice dell'Orletta, Gualtiero FantoniAbstractContrary to what happens in forecasting, in which the repetitive nature of events lends itself to the ex post validation of expert judgments, it is usually very difficult to compare directly the forecast of technology foresight studies with realized outcomes. When the comparison is feasible, therefore, there is large opportunity for learning and methodological refinement. The authors of this study had the opportunity to re-examine t...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 22, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Servitization and Industry 4.0 convergence in the digital transformation of product firms: A business model innovation perspective
Publication date: Available online 18 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Alejandro G. Frank, Glauco H.S. Mendes, Néstor F. Ayala, Antonio GhezziAbstractServitization and Industry 4.0 are considered two of the most recent trends transforming industrial companies. Servitization is mainly focused on adding value to the customer (demand-pull) while Industry 4.0 is frequently related to adding value to manufacturing process (technology-push). Although some scholars address them as complementary concepts, the literature lacks evidences about what are the interfaces and connection bet...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 20, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Does the utilization of information communication technology promote entrepreneurship: Evidence from rural China
Publication date: April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 141Author(s): William A. Barnett, Mingzhi Hu, Xue WangAbstractImpacts on the probability of transition to entrepreneurship in rural China associated with the utilization of information communication technology (ICT) are estimated using longitudinal data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) survey. We identify cell phone ownership and Internet use as proxy variables for ICT utilization and find that cell phone ownership and Internet use have positive impacts on entrepreneurship. After controlling for observables and time and region...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 20, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Smart-building management system: An Internet-of-Things (IoT) application business model in Vietnam
Publication date: April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 141Author(s): Duc Nha Le, Loc Le Tuan, Minh Nguyen Dang TuanAbstractThe accelerating significance and prevalence of IoT (Internet-of-Things) have been recently appreciated by academicians and policy makers. The emergence of ubiquitous sensors, smart devices and broad-band Internet capacity has enabled the integration of networks for synchronous data collecting and processing, which ultimately facilitates prompt decision-making and physical responses to changes in a real-time manner. The virtual interconnectedness of humans and objects e...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 20, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Carbon mitigation effects and potential cost savings from carbon emissions trading in China's regional industry
Publication date: April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 141Author(s): Weijie Zhang, Ning Zhang, Yanni YuAbstractChina began a pilot carbon emissions trading scheme (ETS) in 2013. However, the real carbon mitigation effects of this policy are unclear. Moreover, the potential cost savings from internal or external trading among provinces are also uncertain. Based on panel data of 30 provincial industries from 2006 to 2015, this paper first employs a difference-in-differences model to explore the effects of the pilot ETS on industrial carbon emissions and carbon intensity. A Stochastic Frontier...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 17, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Behind the scenes: Understanding the socio-technical barriers to BIM adoption through the theoretical lens of information systems research
Publication date: Available online 15 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Thuy Duong Oesterreich, Frank Teuteberg (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 16, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Patent-based semantic measurement of one-way and two-way technology convergence: The case of ultraviolet light emitting diodes (UV-LEDs)
Publication date: Available online 15 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Kathi Eilers, Jonas Frischkorn, Elisabeth Eppinger, Lothar Walter, Martin G. MoehrleAbstractCompanies need to identify technology convergence in order to get early warning signals to detect new risks and opportunities. The purpose of this paper is to provide a novel method for identifying different movement patterns of technology convergence by means of a semantic analysis approach using patent data. We illustrate this method on the basis of four distinct application technologies of ultraviolet light emitting dio...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 16, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Marketing innovations to old-age consumers: A dynamic Bass model for different life stages
Publication date: Available online 15 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Matthias Pannhorst, Florian DostAbstractTo identify context-dependent opportunities to market innovations to the elderly, this study empirically analyzes the most prevalent pathways through advanced age, demonstrating which circumstances in the old-age life course provide the strongest potential for specific targeting strategies. First, using a latent Markov model and longitudinal survey data spanning 15 years, we produce a dynamic life course model with transitions over time. Second, we link a modified Bass di...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 16, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Pathways to sustainable urban mobility in developing megacities: A socio-technical transition perspective
Publication date: Available online 15 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Fatih CanitezAbstractSustainable urban mobility paradigm has recently gained prominence in both developed and developing cities, yet the transition process raises important concerns and issues. Socio-technical transition perspective provides a useful way to interpret the social and technical dynamics and complexities involved in sustainability transitions. However, the context of developing megacities presents significant differences with that of the developed cities in terms of institutional settings, governance...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 16, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Corrigendum to “Comparing supply chain risks for multiple product categories with cognitive mapping and Analytic Hierarchy Process” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 131, 159–170]
Publication date: Available online 11 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Monika Mital, Manlio Del Giudice, Armando Papa (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 11, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Can we make use of perception of questions' easiness in Delphi-like studies? Some results from an experiment with an alternative feedback
Publication date: Available online 5 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Carlos Tadao Kawamoto, James Terence Coulter Wright, Renata Giovinazzo Spers, Daniel Estima de CarvalhoAbstractThe main goal of this study is to investigate an alternative feedback for Delphi-like applications, based on a subgroup of elite panellists selected from their perception of questions' easiness, in order to increase the results' accuracy. The use of declared easiness perception is an old idea appearing in the earliest studies by Rand Corporation members, but rarely explored in recent publications. We ran ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 5, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The co-evolution of learning mechanisms and technological capabilities: Lessons from energy technologies in emerging economies
Publication date: Available online 3 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Ulrich Elmer Hansen, Rasmus LemaAbstractDespite a voluminous literature on firm-level technological capability building in developing countries, there is still limited knowledge about the relative importance of different learning mechanisms as firms deepen their technological capabilities. To address this knowledge gap, this paper investigates the sources of learning used by firms in the Malaysian biomass boiler industry and the Chinese wind turbine industry enabling them to advance from production capabilities to...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 4, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Consumers' switching to disruptive technology products: The roles of comparative economic value and technology type
This study explores consumers' motivations to switch to new products in the context of disruptive innovation, and investigates the role of technology differences (i.e., network externality vs. stand-alone technology). Switching from an existing technology product to a disruptive technology product (DTP) involves not only benefits but also requires major sacrifices, which are not encountered in the context of continuous innovation. To model the tradeoff between the benefits and sacrifices, this study extends the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology (UTAUT) model by introducing the construct of comparative econ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 4, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Structural characteristics and organizational determinants as obstacles to innovation in small developing countries
Publication date: Available online 3 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Fernando de-Oliveira, Óscar Rodil-MarzábalAbstractThis paper aims to analyse the influence of structural characteristics and organizational determinants on the perception of obstacles to innovation in small developing countries. The study focuses on the interaction between these specific elements with important implications for both innovation policy and innovation management in the context of small emerging economies, which are generally characterized by financial and market constraints, weak instit...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 4, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Forecasting technical emergence: An introduction
Publication date: Available online 3 January 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Yi Zhang, Alan Porter, Denise Chiavetta, Nils C. Newman, Ying Guo (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 4, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Smart cities and the citizen-driven internet of things: A qualitative inquiry into an emerging smart city
Publication date: March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 140Author(s): Rama Krishna Reddy Kummitha, Nathalie CrutzenAbstractThis paper builds on institutional theory to understand the role that the institutional environment plays in emerging economies which encourage citizens to create Internet of Things (IoT)-based interventions. The research included a field-based study in Hyderabad, a south Indian smart city, using a qualitative explorative research methodology. The research found that, although a supportive regulatory environment helps to create a positive regulatory and cognitive institu...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 4, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

A photovoltaic ecosystem: improving atmospheric environment and fighting regional poverty
Publication date: March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 140Author(s): Li YishuAbstractThe world is facing two great challenges. One is the deterioration of the atmospheric environment caused by air pollution and climate change. The other is the regional poverty. This paper analyses how China deals with these two challenges with a large-scale extension of photovoltaics (PV), and reveals that a photovoltaic ecosystem (PVE) plays the most essential role in PV extension. PV power is one of the most promising clean energy without emissions of pollutants or CO2, but its wide application encountere...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 4, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Applying a mindfulness-based reliability strategy to the Internet of Things in healthcare – A business model in the Vietnamese market
Publication date: March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 140Author(s): Minh Nguyen Dang Tuan, Nhan Nguyen Thanh, Loc Le TuanAbstractIn the healthcare industry, the biggest difficulties (Wang et al., 2018) lie in patient big data, medical equipment and instruments, hospital and laboratory information systems. The trend of applying the IoT along with other high technologies such as big data and artificial intelligence in different industries are attracting the business community's interest in Vietnam. Nowadays, the Internet of Things and big data can improve the business models of Prognostic An...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 4, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Foresight and knowledge management. New developments in theory and practice
Publication date: Available online 28 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jean-Philippe Bootz, Philippe Durance, Régine MontiAbstractIn this paper, we introduce the themes addressed and approaches used by contributors to this special issue. Firstly, we underline that KM is approaching a stage of maturity that requires continuing efforts to use theoretical and empirical investigation to question its future evolution, through a foresight reflection. In parallel, we show that the link between knowledge management and foresight is of long-standing concern. In the context of a knowl...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 29, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

An approach to identify emergent topics of technological convergence: A case study for 3D printing
Publication date: Available online 27 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Zhinan Wang, Alan L. Porter, Xuefeng Wang, Stephen CarleyAbstractTechnological Convergence (TC) reflects developmental processes that overlap different technological fields. It holds promise to yield outcomes that exceed the sum of its subparts. Measuring emergence for a TC environment can inform innovation management. This paper suggests a novel approach to identify Emergent Topics (ETopics) of the TC environment within a target technology domain using patent information. A non-TC environment is constructed as ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 29, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The effects of public subsidies on emerging industry: An agent-based model of the electric vehicle industry
This study explores the differential effects of consumer subsidies and manufacturer subsidies on the development of new technology in the electric vehicle industry. An agent-based simulation model is constructed which fully considers the individual heterogeneity of consumers and manufacturers in decision-making, with the parameter settings derived from the data of the U.S. automobile market in 2010. Based on robustness tests, the findings suggest that consumer subsidy is more effective than manufacturer subsidy in promoting the popularity and technological breakthrough of electric vehicles. Subsidy intensity and duration a...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 27, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Alternative-fuel based vehicles for sustainable transportation: A fuzzy group decision supporting framework for sustainability prioritization
This study aims to develop a fuzzy group decision supporting framework for sustainability prioritization of alternative-fuel based vehicles. A criteria system which consists of thirteen evaluation criteria in environmental, economic, technological and social aspects was developed for sustainability assessment of alternative-fuel vehicles. The linear goal programming priority based Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process was employed to determine the weights of the evaluation criteria for sustainability assessment of alternative-fuel vehicles, and Fuzzy Group Multi-Attribute Decision Analysis which allows multiple groups of stakeh...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 27, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The entrepreneurial university as driver for economic growth and social change - Key strategic challenges
Publication date: Available online 24 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Magnus Klofsten, Alain Fayolle, Maribel Guerrero, Sarfraz Mian, David Urbano, Mike WrightAbstractLimitations of the research on the various leadership and strategic issues facing universities seeking to become more entrepreneurial has led this special issue to focus on the management, development, and implementation of this vision. We have solicited original research on the strategic challenges that these universities currently encounter. Researchers in management and related disciplines have contributed to this...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 25, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Assessment of concentrated solar power (CSP) technologies based on a modified intuitionistic fuzzy topsis and trigonometric entropy weights
Publication date: Available online 24 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Fausto Cavallaro, Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas, Dalia Streimikiene, Abbas MardaniAbstractConcentrated solar power (CSP) technology has shown considerable long-term growth with varying levels of peak development and stall phases over the years. More and more countries are finding CSP technology attractive for the production of electricity and other applications. CSP offers a variety of applications where solar power can be used appropriately, although the debate about which CSP technology has a better future per...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 25, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Understanding Smart Cities: Innovation ecosystems, technological advancements, and societal challenges
Publication date: Available online 22 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Francesco Paolo Appio, Marcos Lima, Sotirios ParoutisAbstractSmart Cities initiatives are spreading all around the globe at a phenomenal pace. Their bold ambition is to increase the competitiveness of local communities through innovation while increasing the quality of life for its citizens through better public services and a cleaner environment. Prior research has shown contrasting views and a multitude of dimensions and approaches to look at this phenomenon. In spite of the fact that this can stimulate the de...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 22, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Editorial Board
Publication date: February 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 139Author(s): (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 22, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Understanding the effect of social media marketing activities: The mediation of social identification, perceived value, and satisfaction
This study proposed the effects of social media marketing activities on continuance intention, participation intention and purchase intention via the mediation of social identification, perceived value, and satisfaction. To empirically test the effects of social media marketing activities, this study conducted an online survey on 502 social media users for data analysis. The analytical results indicated that social media marketing activities indirectly affect satisfaction through social identification and perceived value. At the same time, social identification and perceived value directly affect satisfaction that then inf...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 22, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

The role of crowdfunding in moving towards a sustainable society
Publication date: Available online 20 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Stefania Testa, Kristian Roed Nielsen, Marcel Bogers, Silvano CincottiAbstractCrowdfunding presents many opportunities for moving towards a sustainable society, with specific interest for sustainable entrepreneurs and innovators. In order to examine the potential role of crowdfunding in this context, we position this Special Issue (SI) within the larger stream of sustainability transitions literature, and in particular in relation to one of the field's key frameworks, i.e. the Multi-Level Perspective (MLP). We a...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 21, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Conditions for politically accelerated transitions: Historical institutionalism, the multi-level perspective, and two historical case studies in transport and agriculture
This article investigates the conditions under which policymakers are likely to decisively accelerate socio-technical transitions. We develop a conceptual framework that combines insights from historical institutionalism and the Multi-Level Perspective to better understand the political dimension in transitions, focusing particularly on the mechanisms of political defection from incumbent regime to niche-innovation. We distinguish two ideal-type patterns, one where external (landscape) shocks create a ‘critical juncture’ and one where gradual feedbacks change the balance of power between niche-innovation and re...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 21, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Top management team knowledge heterogeneity, ownership structure and financial performance: Evidence from Chinese IT listed companies
Publication date: March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 140Author(s): Yu Cui, Yamin Zhang, Jingjing Guo, Hao Hu, Hua MengAbstractBased on upper echelon theory, this study investigates the relationship between the knowledge heterogeneity of top management teams and the financial performance of Chinese IT-listed companies. Moreover, we explore the moderating role of the ownership structure on the above relationship. The results indicate that overseas background heterogeneity, functional experience heterogeneity and financial performance are significantly and positively correlated, while academ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 21, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Identifying and supporting exploratory and exploitative models of innovation in municipal urban planning; key challenges from seven Norwegian energy ambitious neighborhood pilots
Publication date: Available online 19 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Brita Fladvad Nielsen, Daniela Baer, Carmel LindkvistAbstractThe planning of energy ambitious neighborhood pilots in Norway typically begin with the creation of holistic and socially ambitious visions based on extensive stakeholder collaboration, citizen insight generation and vision setting. However, as projects move from planning to implementation, the exploratory innovation methods are replaced by exploitative approaches. ‘The holistic vision and in particular, citizens’ described needs, fail to t...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 20, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Product innovation and firm performance in transition economies: A multi-stage estimation approach
Publication date: Available online 19 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Veland Ramadani, Robert D. Hisrich, Hyrije Abazi-Alili, Léo-Paul Dana, Laxman Panthi, Lejla Abazi-BexhetiAbstractUsing Business Environment Enterprise Performance Surveys (BEEPS), this paper provides a multistage empirical analysis of product innovation and firm performance in transition economies (TEs). The Crepon-Duguet-Mairesse (CDM) model, a four-stage approach, is used to investigate the innovation-performance relationship. The multistage model allows studying the innovation activities of firms throu...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 20, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Regional culture, top executive values, and corporate donation behaviors
This study linked top executives' values to firm charitable donation behaviors. Based on a unique database which combined native place of chairmen of listed companies in China and provincial level regional culture data in China, we find that: firms with chairmen from provinces with stronger humane orientation and collectivism orientation will be more likely to donate, and the donation amount will be greater; while firms with chairmen from provinces with stronger assertiveness will be less likely to donate and the donation amount will be less. Further analysis indicates that top executives' hometown identity, which is the c...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 19, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Measuring the extent to which Londoners are willing to pay for public art in their city
Publication date: Available online 13 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Marine Tanguy, Vishal KumarAbstractContemporary research into future cities tends to focus on technology, architecture and infrastructure. However, this study highlights the importance of public art projects for our future cities. Very little empirical evidence and academic studies exist to determine whether or not public art is core to the life and demand of citizens. Using a hybrid contingent valuation (CV) and wellbeing valuation (WV) survey approach (Bakhshi et al., 2015), we collected data at two public art...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 14, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Enabling cost innovation by non-traditional organizational processes: The case of Chinese firms
Publication date: Available online 13 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Feng Wan, Peter Williamson, Eden YinAbstractCost innovation has emerged as a new pattern of innovation in recent years. The extant literature has studied the preconditions for cost innovation to arise, including the availability of low-cost talent at all skill levels, state assets and intellectual property at a discount, management autonomy, and strong personal incentives to create value. Much less attention has been paid to the role of organizational processes. In this research, based on a set of Chinese firms,...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 13, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Introduction: Special issue on digital economy in East Asia
Publication date: Available online 13 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jonathan Liebenau, Jiang Yu, Heejin Lee (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 13, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

New technology assessment in entrepreneurial financing – Does crowdfunding predict venture capital investments?
Publication date: Available online 11 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jermain Kaminski, Christian Hopp, Tereza TykvováAbstractCrowdfunding is a relatively new gateway for entrepreneurs to access capital for creative and innovative ideas. It allows individuals to start experiments with new products and technologies where the outcome is distant. Yet predicting the success of hitherto unseen products and technologies is fraught with ambiguity and uncertainty. Early stage product experimentation and market access through reward-based crowdfunding, where potential customers prov...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 12, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

An empirical analysis of county-level residential PV adoption in California
Publication date: Available online 10 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Lado Kurdgelashvili, Cheng-Hao Shih, Fan Yang, Mehul GargAbstractTo understand long term PV deployment, it is important to explore the underlying mechanisms that drive PV market diffusion. This paper examines the relationships between several social and economic factors and residential PV market diffusion on a county level. The Bass diffusion model was used to estimate diffusion parameters for 46 counties in California. Regression analysis was then applied to find associations between these parameters and severa...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Sustainability oriented innovation dynamics: Levels of dynamic capabilities and their path-dependent and self-reinforcing logics
Publication date: Available online 11 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Edurne A. Inigo, Laura AlbaredaAbstractIn this article, we build on dynamic capabilities theory to explore the organizational dynamics for sustainability-oriented innovation (SOI). We carried out a multiple case study of seven leading companies fostering SOI, searching for common patterns in their adaptation. We found three different levels of dynamic capabilities (adapting, expanding, and transforming) interconnected to strategic sustainability dimensions. We thus propose an evolving framework that explains how...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Towards a service-dominant platform for public value co-creation in a smart city: Evidence from two metropolitan cities in China
Publication date: Available online 11 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Jiang Yu, Yating Wen, Jing Jin, Yue ZhangAbstractProviding, integrating and improving efficient public service in the construction of ‘smart cities’ in metropolitan areas have been showed to be difficult to achieve. In this article, we propose a strategy for developing service-dominant platforms with the advancement of ICT and more internet enterprises initiatives. We use the concept of SDP (service dominant platform) as a key contributor in a smart city's construction to explain how value can be co-...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 11, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Differences in consumer intention to use on-demand automobile-related services in accordance with the degree of face-to-face interactions
Publication date: Available online 6 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Nooree Kim, Yuri Park, Daeho LeeAbstractIt is important to examine the factors whereby consumers adopt on-demand services, particularly the factors related to consumer safety, to obtain the sustainable growth of on-demand services. Because consumers face physical risks as they confront service providers in person when using these on-demand services, unlike with traditional online services. This paper analyzed the effect of the level of face-to-face interaction between consumer and service provider with the adopti...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 7, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research

Corrigendum to “New market development of platform ecosystems: A case study of the Nintendo Wii” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 136 (2018) 235–253]
Publication date: Available online 3 December 2018Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Yuki Inoue, Masaharu Tsujimoto (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - December 4, 2018 Category: Science Source Type: research