Programmatic Advertising: Forewarning and avoiding hype-cycle failure
This study is therefore of interest to PA system developers and adopters since most have little understanding of its operation and limitations, and are poorly equipped to make informed decisions about its adoption and use.Through the construction of a Concept Map of the system and the development of four future states of Programmatic Advertising development, consumer concerns over the ethical usage of data and the real return on investment are issues that are identified as requiring the immediate attention of platform developers in order to mitigate the deleterious effects of hype-cycle decline. The study proffers two alte...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - May 1, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Surveying the future of science, technology and business – A 35 year perspective
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Ulrich A.K. Betz, Frederick Betz, Rachel Kim, Brendan Monks, Fred PhillipsAbstractWe asked readers of Science, Nature and Harvard Business Review about their expectations for advances in science, technology, and business over a 35-year time horizon. We asked further about their needs and dreams for technical products, and their forecasts of converging industries. A fourth survey, fielded later to experts in technology forecasting and science policy, yielded assessments of the earlier survey results as well as the experts' o...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 29, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Loaning scale and government subsidy for promoting green innovation
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Zhehao Huang, Gaoke Liao, Zhenghui LiAbstractGreen innovation has attracted worldwide attention in the past decades. In this paper, we develop series of game models to address the effects of green loans and government subsidies on green innovation activities of enterprises. We derive a threshold value for loaning interest rate. If the interest rate of the green loan is lower than this threshold value, then the enterprises are willing to accept the loan from the bank and implement green innovation. By defining a measure for ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 29, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The role of a business model in market growth: The difference between the converted industry and the emerging industry
This study analyzed the status of the technologies and business models in the autonomous car and intelligent robot industries, as well as their recent two-year growth, using technology and business model patents. In addition, it investigated the current situation of the technologies, business models, and markets of the two industries based on literature reviews. This study then simulated the market growth of the autonomous car and intelligent robot industries using system dynamics. The simulations were established and verified by analyzing the references and citations of the technology patents and business model patents of...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 28, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Acculturation in the social media: Myth or reality? Analysing social-media-led integration and polarisation
Publication date: Available online 25 April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Dorothy A. Yen, Bidit Dey (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The business case for conserving rare metals
Publication date: Available online 26 April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Robert U. AyresAbstractIncreasing digitization of the economy and continued developments in information technology and computing require increasing amounts of rare elements (including, but not limited to, the rare Earth Elements or REEs). The motivation for this article is that many of the potentially important elements, which are by-products of other metals, are neither being recovered from existing sources, nor recycled from existing uses mainly because there is a disconnect between supply and demand for many of ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Forecasting of advertising effectiveness for renewable energy technologies: A neural network analysis
Publication date: Available online 26 April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Mehdi Sharifi, Javad Khazaei Pool, Mohammad Reza Jalilvand, Reihaneh Alsadat Tabaeeian, Mohsen Ghanbarpour JooybariAbstractThe adoption of renewable energy technologies (RETs) as a sustainable practice in the residential construction sector depends on promotional efforts. With a modeling-based contribution, this research aims to analyze advertising effectiveness in the context of RETs adoption regarding solar water heaters. The study is based on a survey of 398 Iranian citizens. A neural network analysis was employ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Extending technological trajectories to latest technological changes by overcoming time lags
Publication date: Available online 26 April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Seonho Hwang, Juneseuk ShinAbstractBibliometric methods of mapping technological trajectories encounter difficulty when identifying recent technological changes, mainly due to two forms of time lag: publication lag between invention and patent publication, and citation lag between publication and citation. To address this problem, we propose a novel way of identifying recent important publications, and of automatically connecting these to the patents-based main path. Our method reduces truncation bias due to public...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Exploring the effects of inter-firm linkages on SMEs' open innovation from an ecosystem perspective: An empirical study of Chinese manufacturing SMEs
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Liang Mei, Tao Zhang, Jin ChenAbstractIn this paper, we study the effects of inter-firm linkages on the open innovation of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) from an innovation ecosystem perspective. Based on resource dependence theory and the bipartite structure of business ecosystems, we divide a SME's external linkages with its partners in an innovation ecosystem into two types (i.e. the Linkages of a SME with its Prominent Organizations (LPO) and the Linkages of the SME with its Service Intermediaries (LSI)). We...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The effect of environmental policy on Chinese firm's green productivity and shadow price: A metafrontier input distance function approach
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Ning Zhang, Xue-Feng JiangAbstractIn this paper, a new parametric meta-frontier estimation method, which we call the metafrontier input distance function (MIDF), is proposed to construct a new green productivity index and the shadow price for Chinese coal-fired power plants. Taking the policy heterogeneity into account, 93 Chinese coal-fired power plants are divided into two groups based on whether they are located in China's key “environmental protection cities”, a Chinese environmental protection policy. Using...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Smart solutions shape for sustainable low-carbon future: A review on smart cities and industrial parks in China
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Yuanping Wang, Hong Ren, Liang Dong, Hung-Suck Park, Yuepeng Zhang, Yanwei XuAbstractTo promote sustainable urban development and green industrial process are critical solutions for sustainable and low-carbon society transition in China, considering the significant environmental impacts derived from the industrialization and surging urbanization. Under this background, China adopts top-down programs on smart cities and smart industrial parks to forward the above efforts. While practices and lessons from these programs will ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 25, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Multiple visions of the future and major environmental scenarios
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Denis Lacroix, Louis Laurent, Nicolas de Menthière, Bertrand Schmitt, Audrey Béthinger, Bernard David, Christophe Didier, Jacques Parent du ChâteletAbstractScientific programming in environmental science often relies on short-term (3 to 5 years) trend-based projections for contextual elements like the demography or the economy to construct or justify its choice of priorities. However, this approach does not take into account numerous factors of change or disruption over a longer term (10 to 20, or even...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 25, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The effects of technology innovation and network presence on Otaku identity
This study adopts three stages of the research process. First, based on the diffusion of innovations theory, a tentative Otaku identity model (OIM) including four constructs of technology innovation, subculture social system, subculture social identity, and social presence (network presence and physical presence) was proposed. Second, qualitative interviews with ten Otaku participants were conducted to understand Otaku's core thinking pattern, to confirm the tentative OIM, and to justify the establishment of follow-up surveys. Third, quantitative surveys of 122 Otaku and 207 non-Otaku were conducted to verify the OIM model...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 25, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

How do firms upgrade capabilities for systemic catch-up in the open innovation context? A multiple-case study of three leading home appliance companies in China
This study develops a PDSE (Position-Depth-Scope-Efficiency) framework of systemic catch-up to explain the process and mechanism of capability upgrading by using the literature on technological catch-up, open innovation, and the capability reconfiguration view. We conduct a multiple-case study based on three top home appliance manufacturers in China– Haier Group, Midea Group, and Gree Electronics. The results show that firms can achieve better positions, depth, and scope of catch-up with higher efficiency in the open innovation era. The process of systemic catch-up moves from component capability to architectural cap...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 19, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Strategic customer foresight: From research to strategic decision-making using the example of highly automated vehicles
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Nicola Schweitzer, Rupert Hofmann, Andreas MeinheitAbstractUnderstanding changing consumer needs is crucial for a company's survival. Particularly in the context of vehicle autonomy, customer insights lay a significant foundation for strategic decision-making of organizations in the automotive industry. This paper outlines how a German car manufacturer explored customer needs in the context of highly automated vehicles (AVs).1 by implementing corporate foresight research with visionary customers and how the findings support...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 19, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Carsharing with shared autonomous vehicles: Uncovering drivers, barriers and future developments – A four-stage Delphi study
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Katrin Merfeld, Mark-Philipp Wilhelms, Sven Henkel, Karin KreutzerAbstractAutonomous vehicles are expected to disrupt mobility but face consumer reluctance. Diffused through carsharing services, the technology could become more accessible and overcome initial skepticism. Consequently, carsharing with shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs) can provide the combined benefits of autonomous driving technology and access-based consumption. Whereas first investigations into the topic provide projections in adoption preferences and firs...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 19, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Network embeddedness and inbound open innovation practice: The moderating role of technology cluster
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Yibo Lyu, Binyuan He, Yuqing Zhu, Li LiAbstractInbound open innovation has become a prevalent innovation strategy used to strengthen firms' technology competitiveness in the fast-changing industrial and technological environment. The effective governance of firms' ego-centered innovation networks to facilitate and accelerate inbound open innovation practice is the main concern of scholars and firm leaders. In this paper, we elucidate the impact of network embeddedness on inbound open innovation practice by considering techn...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 19, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The impact of public research on the technological development of industry in the green energy field
Publication date: July 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 144Author(s): Lorenzo Ardito, Antonio Messeni Petruzzelli, Claudia GhisettiAbstractThis paper, by analysing technology attributes, examines the degree to which companies build on environmental technologies generated by public research organisations (PROs) to develop the related technological solutions. Three main technology attributes have been considered: (i) the level of establishment, (ii) the scope of application, and (iii) the technological breadth. We have then developed three hypotheses about the influence exerted by these charact...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 19, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Supply chain re-engineering using blockchain technology: A case of smart contract based tracking process
This study focuses on the feasibility and inceptive application of supply chain processes. We proposed a blockchain-based framework along with the use of an affiliated technology, i.e., smart contracts, to derive the feasible benefits of the supply chain process design. Through the illustrative design of an integrated process, we provide an achievable use case of the disintermediation of business processes via a conceptual, shared information ledger. This ledger not only facilitates the sharing of tracking information but also promotes a network for multilateral collaboration among supply chain members. The pursuit of tran...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 10, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Why space colonization will be fully automated
Publication date: Available online 8 April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Riccardo Campa, Konrad Szocik, Martin BraddockAbstractIn this article we explore a possible scenario of space colonization and its consequences for planet Earth. We argue that in the short term space colonization will take place, but not in the form often presented in scientific and science fiction literature. Space colonies will be fully automated. There are three main reasons to believe that this is the most plausible scenario: 1) space mining is very profitable; 2) humans cannot survive for long periods of time i...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 10, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Recent developments of control charts, identification of big data sources and future trends of current research
Publication date: Available online 5 April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Robert G. Aykroyd, Víctor Leiva, Fabrizio RuggeriAbstractControl charts are one of the principal tools to monitor dynamic processes with the aim of rapid identification of changes in the behaviour of these processes. Such changes are usually associated with a move from an in-control condition to an out-of-control condition. The paper briefly reviews the historical origins and includes examples of recent developments, focussing on their use in fields different from the industrial applications in which they wer...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 6, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Exploring technology upgrading of emerging economies: From ‘shifting wealth I’ to ‘shifting wealth II’?
Publication date: Available online 4 April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Slavo Radosevic, Dirk Meissner, Iciar Dominguez Lacasa, Jutta Günther (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 5, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technology news and their linkage to production of knowledge in robotics research
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Cristian Mejía, Yuya KajikawaAbstractRobotics is a growing academic field that has received extensive social attention, where both promising and contested opinions can be found with regard to its applications. To understand commonalities and differences between social expectations and academic research, we analyzed the relationship between sentiment polarity appearing in news articles and topical coverage of academic publications. We found that news discourse is shifting from a prevailing positive view towards a more...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 5, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

How aluminum changed the world: A metallurgical revolution through technological and cultural perspectives
This article reviews the history of aluminum through technological breakthroughs as well as from cultural and social perspectives, beginning with its discovery, through the nineteenth and twentieth centuries until today; and aims to suggest possible future trends and applications for aluminum alloys. Aluminum has a high strength-to-weight ratio combined with excellent thermal conductivity and good corrosion resistance. Therefore, aluminum is an attractive material for many applications, including transportation, electrical and packaging industries, architecture, and food industries. It is also a recyclable metal, which pro...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 5, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Decarbonizing freight transportation: An integrated EFA-TISM approach to model enablers of dedicated freight corridors
This study attempts to use transition management theory for identifying enablers of DFC for the transition from road to rail freight transportation. Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) is employed to confirm the three-level transition management framework for these enablers. This paper also proposes an eight-level hierarchical total interpretive structural modeling (TISM) based model for explicating the inter-relationships among the enablers of DFC to decarbonize freight transportation and achieve sustainability in the freight transport sector. Eventually, this paper provides empirical evidence to identify and validate the e...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - April 4, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Success factors and challenges of grassroots innovations: Learning from failure
This study addresses this knowledge gap, proposing a diagnostic tool based on existing theoretical frameworks, which is then validated by investigating a failed grassroots innovation initiative, in order to identify its major shortcomings, and learn to avoid them in future projects. The findings also outline the role and importance of a socially inclusive approach for an effective deployment of grassroots initiatives, clarifying the relationship between grassroots innovation success and local community involvement. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 28, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Grassroots innovation and entrepreneurial success: Is entrepreneurial orientation a missing link?
This study endeavors to fill this gap while examining how the three factors of grassroots innovation such as new grassroots learning practices, local solution and networking capabilities influence entrepreneurial orientation enroute to affecting economic benefits and non-economic benefits from entrepreneurial activity. The study involved data from 400 grassroots innovators and a structural equation modeling approach was used to fit the data based on the aforementioned factors and components. The study reveals that entrepreneurial orientation is observed to fully mediate the relationship between the following three linear d...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 28, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

50 years of TF&SC
Publication date: Available online 28 March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Fred PhillipsAbstractOn Technological Forecasting & Social Change's 50th birthday, the journal's second and current Editor-in-Chief remarks on TF&SC's progress, the changes in the technological, cultural, and geopolitical environments in which the journal operates, TF&SC articles' changing topics and origins, and where future TF&SC volumes may lead. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 28, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Using social media to leverage and develop dynamic capabilities for innovation
Publication date: Available online 26 March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Anne-Laure Mention, Pierre-Jean Barlatier, Emmanuel JosserandAbstractSocial media are essentially changing the way firms communicate, create and collaborate in and for innovation. In this special issue introductory article, we take stock of the robust multi-faceted nature of research and practice at the intersection of social media (SM) and innovation. We introduce the nine papers included in this special issue and highlight the rich variety of their contribution with reference to our organising framework. Diagnosi...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 27, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Impacts of climate change on water resources and grain production
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Shibao Lu, Xiao Bai, Wei Li, Ning WangAbstractClimate change impact assessment has become a universal concern and attracted more attentions all over the world. The climate change has an increasingly serious impact on water resources and grain production. Strengthening scientific research in relevant fields of climate change and enhancing grain production in order to adapt to climate change is of vital significance to guarantee food security, improve farmers' income and maintain social stability. This paper constructs a new ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 24, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

“The war of the worlds won't occur”: Decentralized evaluation systems and orders of worth in market organizations of the sharing economy
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Anne-Sophie Barbe, Caroline HusslerAbstractMarket organizations of the sharing economy have gained economic and social prominence. Most of these market organizations incorporate decentralized evaluation systems into their digital platform. However, these market organizations involve users and organizers with different ideas on what is valuable and what is not in sharing-economy transactions. Building on neo-institutional insights coupled with French pragmatist sociology, we investigate the role of decentralized evaluation s...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 22, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The anatomy of plausible futures in policy processes: Comparing the cases of data protection and comprehensive security
This article presents a comparative analysis of anticipatory argumentation in two fields: the EU data protection reform and the Finnish concept for comprehensive security. A three-layer heuristic framework is presented for qualitative analysis of statements on plausible futures. The first layer consists of specific expectations regarding the future. The second layer is the generic anticipatory storyline. The third layer consists of the underlying futures consciousness. The data protection case presents an institutional reform narrative with short time perspective and relatively high agency, while the comprehensive security...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 21, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Large-scale scenarios as ‘boundary conditions’: A cross-impact balance simulated annealing (CIBSA) approach
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Eric Kemp-Benedict, Henrik Carlsen, Sivan KarthaAbstractThere is increasing interest in cross-scale scenario development, driven in part by developments in climate scenarios. Climate mitigation and adaptation studies have long emphasized the link between global change and local action, and recent climate community scenarios have been developed with cross-scale application in mind. Conceptually, global scenarios have been proposed as ‘boundary conditions’ on regional and local scenarios. However, while the concep...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 21, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Enacting Social Crowdfunding Business Ecosystems: The case of the platform Meridonare
Publication date: Available online 19 March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Angelo Presenza, Tindara Abbate, Fabrizio Cesaroni, Francesco Paolo AppioAbstractThe paper investigates the emerging practice of social crowdfunding. It focuses on both the role played by crowdfunding platforms and the activities that these platforms perform in enhancing and facilitating the diffusion of social and cultural projects through donations. Crowdfunding platforms empower the financing of projects by soliciting small investments from a large base of potential backers over the Internet and creating a dynam...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 21, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technology forecasting: A case study of computational technologies
Publication date: Available online 19 March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Amol C. Adamuthe, Gopakumaran T. ThampiAbstractThis research presents trend projection and technology maturity curve of six computational technologies including three disruptive technologies namely mainframes, minicomputers and cloud computing. This investigation is beneficial to sensitize different stakeholders for making effective strategic policies and decisions. Time series data of patent and paper from U.S. patent office, European patent office, IEEE and ScienceDirect is used for forecasting. Use of two techno...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 21, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Estimating the efficiency of a sustainable Chinese tourism industry using bootstrap technology rectification
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Malin Song, Hui LiAbstractThis paper estimates the efficiency of the Chinese tourism industry using traditional data envelopment analysis (DEA) and bootstrap-DEA. It also identifies the determinants of efficiency. The comprehensive and pure technical efficiency values estimated by DEA are higher than those estimated by bootstrap-DEA, indicating that the former method tends to overestimate efficiency. Further, the changes in comprehensive and pure technical efficiency are not significant, while some models display no efficie...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 21, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Managing financing risk in capacity investment under green supply chain competition
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Tao Wu, Li-Guo Zhang, Teng GeAbstractIn this paper, we study the asymmetric duopoly models of competing supply chains with financing risk. The financing risk of the green supply chain's capacity investment could be available as complete or incomplete information to the traditional supply chain. By analyzing and comparing the optimal quantities, optimal prices, and optimal profits of both cases, we find that the financing risk of capacity investment does not affect either chain's choices of equilibrium quantities and prices ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 18, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Editorial Board
Publication date: May 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 142Author(s): (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 15, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The role of culture-moderated social capital in technology transfer – insights from Asia and America
This study examines the impact of cultural differences on the creation of social capital in technology transfer processes. The aim is to understand the influence of culture on relationships, particularly the structural, relational and cognitive dimensions of social capital created in relationships associated with university-industry links, specifically technology transfer (TT). The research builds on a culture-moderated social capital perspective; observing that the characteristics and usefulness of social capital are determined by cultural practices prevailing in social structures. The influence of culture on social capit...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 15, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

National systems of innovation, innovation niches, and diversity in university systems
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Surja Datta, Mohammed Saad, David Sarpong (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 8, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Inter-technology relationship networks: Arranging technologies through text mining
Publication date: Available online 7 March 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Peter Hofmann, Robert Keller, Nils UrbachAbstractOngoing advances in digital technologies – which enable new products, services, and business models – have fundamentally affected business and society through several waves of digitalization. When analyzing digital technologies, a dynamic system or an ecosystem model that represents interrelated technologies is beneficial owing to the systemic character of digital technologies. Using an assembly-based process model for situational method engineering, and f...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 8, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Comparative evaluation of global low-carbon urban transport
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Wenxiang Li, Lei Bao, Luqi Wang, Ye Li, Xianmin MaiAbstractGiven increasing concern about climate change, the trend toward low-carbon urban transport development has global appeal. The evaluation of low-carbon urban transport is a prerequisite for a transition toward low-carbon urban transport. However, most of the existing research focuses only on the absolute evaluation of urban transport CO2 emissions, which do not represent the level of low-carbon urban transport. In addition, an absolute evaluation is not comparable ac...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 6, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The impact of business-government relations on firms' innovation: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing industry
This article makes some theoretical contributions to the study of firms' innovation, and, at the same time, provides a realistic operating path for firms to improve innovation. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 5, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Perceptions and expectations of autonomous vehicles – A snapshot of vulnerable road user opinion
Publication date: June 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 143Author(s): Praveena Penmetsa, Emmanuel Kofi Adanu, Dustin Wood, Teng Wang, Steven L. JonesAbstractPublic perceptions play a crucial role in wider adoption of autonomous vehicles (AVs). This paper aims to make two contributions to the understanding of public attitudes toward AVs. First, we explore opinions regarding the perceived benefits and challenges of AVs among vulnerable road users – in particular, pedestrians and bicyclists. Second, the paper evaluated whether interaction experiences with AVs influence perceptions among vu...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - March 5, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Recombinant distance, network governance and recombinant innovation
Publication date: Available online 26 February 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): JingJing Zhang, Yan Yan, JianCheng GuanAbstractKnowledge networks play a vital role in the organizational pursuit of recombinant innovation. Based on the knowledge network, we propose a new concept of recombinant distance and investigate its effect on recombinant innovation. Specifically, we minutely explore the knowledge network to assess the recombinant distance between the knowledge elements of the focal organization and its alliance partners and to examine whether and how the recombinant distance in a knowle...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Editorial Board
Publication date: April 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 141Author(s): (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 26, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

The effect of developing countries' innovation policies on firms' decisions to invest in R&D
Publication date: Available online 23 February 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Juan Fernández-Sastre, Fernando Montalvo-QuizhpiAbstractUsing data on Ecuadorian firms for the period 2009–2011 and by employing inverse probability weighting, this paper compares the impact of two policy instruments that may induce firms in developing countries to invest in R&D activities. The first is public procurement which has recently been viewed as an important tool when encouraging innovation. The second is innovation support programs which are intended to increase firms' technological c...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 25, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Barriers to grassroots innovation: The phenomenon of social-commercial-cultural trilemmas in remote indigenous art centres
Publication date: Available online 22 February 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Janice Jones, Pi-Shen Seet, Tim Acker, Michelle WhittleAbstractDespite substantial research on grassroots innovation, there is a lack of understanding on the barriers to grassroots innovation. We examine paradoxes that arise as a consequence of multiple, often conflicting, objectives in remote art centres, social enterprises that are key sites for grassroots innovations. We investigate how social, commercial and cultural logics in remote Indigenous art centres contribute to an on-going trilemma that acts as a ba...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 23, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Access-based business model innovation in frontier markets: Case study of shared mobility in Timor-Leste
Publication date: Available online 23 February 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): David Wiprächtiger, Gopalakrishnan Narayanamurthy, Roger Moser, Tuhin SenguptaAbstractDespite the vast amount of research on business model innovation, little is known about what decision-makers must consider while innovating access-based business models in the context of frontier markets. To address this research gap, we develop a comprehensive framework for access-based business model innovation in frontier markets. A participative observation approach is adopted to collect the data on the case study of M...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 23, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research

Platform strategies and user stickiness in the online video industry
Publication date: Available online 19 February 2019Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Ke Rong, Fei Xiao, Xiaoyu Zhang, Jingjing WangAbstractIn this paper, we explore determinants of user stickiness in the online video industry through platform theory. The online video industry mainly comprises two patterns of business model: the merchant platform and the two-sided platform. We build a theoretical model based on platform and Hotelling theories to explore the essential difference between the two kinds of business model. Then, we successfully verify the predictions of our theory using empirical anal...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 19, 2019 Category: Science Source Type: research