When experts disagree: Using the Policy Delphi method to analyse divergent expert expectations and preferences on UK energy futures
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Michael Kattirtzi, Mark WinskelAbstractRecent literature has highlighted the need to critically examine the assumptions and values that influence scenario analysis and expert advice on contested topics. To this end, this paper presents the results of a large scale two-round Policy Delphi expert survey on UK energy futures. The survey constitutes one of the most detailed and wide-ranging analyses of UK-based energy researchers and stakeholders (policymakers, businesses and civil society groups). Through a quantitative and q...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Supporting entrepreneurs: A systematic review of literature and an agenda for research
Publication date: May 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 154Author(s): Tiago Ratinho, Alejandro Amezcua, Benson Honig, Zhaocheng ZengAbstractEntrepreneurship has become a cornerstone of economic development. The public awareness of this phenomenon spurred great interest from the academic community and policy makers alongside the creation of a vast range of entrepreneurship support initiatives. We conduct a systematic review of 122 academic articles published during a thirty year period between 1985–2015 that help to identify a series of theoretical, empirical, and practical gaps that form...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

How does patent transfer affect innovation of firms?
This study examines how a firm's acquisition of external patents affects its rival firms’ innovation activity when a patent can be strategically utilized by the patent purchasing firm. Through our review of patent holdup literature and firms’ strategic utilization of patents, we derive a hypothesis stating that a firm's patent purchase deters its rival firm's development of relevant technologies to that patent if the patent covers crucial technological input for its rival's market operation.Our analysis uses Nortel's patent auction in 2011 and finds supportive evidence for the stated hypothesis. This paper disc...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Economic analysis of dynamic inductive power transfer roadway charging system under public-private partnership–Evidence from New Zealand
This study assesses the economic viability of a DIPT system for EVs through public–private partnership (PPP), by employing a net present value (NPV) framework, to determine the optimal PPP ratio. The PPP model could be considered an effective pathway for leveraging capital, alleviating uncertainties associated with construction and operation, and achieving a nation's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). New Zealand is used as a real-world case study. Our results indicate that, for a 15-year concession period under PPP where the private investor is expecting a 12.5% return, the government can contribute 9.46% towards...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Forecasting the video data traffic of 5 G services in south korea
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Hyungsup Shin, Jiyeon Jung, Yoonmo KooAbstractAlong with the rapid evolution of mobile communication services, popularization of smartphones, and increase in traffic service usage, data traffic has also grown rapidly. Anticipating massive data traffic growth owing to the launch of the fifth-generation (5 G) mobile communication service in 2019, this study analyzes and forecasts: 1) the number of 5 G users using a logistic model, 2) consumer preference for 5 G services using a mixed logit model, and 3) 5 ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Micro-foundations of organizational ambidexterity in the context of cross-border mergers and acquisitions
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Paul Hughes, Matthew Hughes, Peter Stokes, Hanna Lee, Peter Rodgers, William Y. DegbeyAbstractMicro-foundational approaches can enable firms to develop organizational ambidexterity, which is critical to long-term prosperity. However, to date, few studies have examined how mergers and acquisitions (M&A)—processes reliant on knowledge transfer—provide a useful organizational context through which to understand the achievement of organizational ambidexterity. Considering organizational ambidexterity from the v...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

The role of science, technology and innovation in the UN 2030 agenda
Publication date: May 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 154Author(s): P.P. Walsh, E. Murphy, D. HoranAbstractThe transition path to inclusive and environmentally sustainable economic development must be Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) intensive. As such, we outline an economic framework that demonstrates the need to transform the nature of STI and reorient it towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) together with the various public policy options that can reorient investment patterns in STIs towards achieving the SDGs. In addition, the Means of Implementation (MoIs) of the UN ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Effects of technological changes on China's carbon emissions
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Jiandong Chen, Ming Gao, Sachin Kumar Mangla, Malin Song, Jie WenAbstractTechnological progress is widely recognized as a method of reducing carbon emissions. However, many studies have shown that it can also lead to increased energy consumption and carbon emissions. To study the effects of technological changes on carbon emissions, we decomposed technological changes into environmental technological changes and production technological changes. Furthermore, we analyzed the effects of technological progress on carbon emiss...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 13, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Effective bioeconomy? a MRIO-based socioeconomic and environmental impact assessment of generic sectoral innovations
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Raphael Asada, Giuseppe Cardellini, Claudia Mair-Bauernfeind, Julia Wenger, Verena Haas, Daniel Holzer, Tobias SternAbstractThe European Commission (EC) expects a bioeconomic transition to have both environmental and socioeconomic benefits. While bioeconomic impact assessments exist, they usually focus on a particular sustainability dimension and on specific products or technologies. To draw a more holistic picture, this paper aims to analyze the substitution impacts of four bioeconomic innovations in terms of policy objec...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 10, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Wind turbine technology battles: Gearbox versus direct drive - opening up the black box of technology characteristics
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Geerten van de Kaa, Martijn van Ek, Linda M. Kamp, Jafar RezaeiAbstractThis paper studies the battle between two types of wind turbines, the gearbox wind turbine and the direct drive wind turbine. Applicable determinants that affect technological dominance for the wind turbine drive trains case are identified. By applying the Best-Worst Method, the relative importance to the determinants to understand which of the two wind turbine drive train types has the highest chance of achieving success are allocated. The results show...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 10, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Pursuing supply chain sustainable development goals through the adoption of green practices and enabling technologies: A cross-country analysis of LSPs
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Piera Centobelli, Roberto Cerchione, Emilio EspositoAbstractThe 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development was defined by United Nations Member States to provide a list of sustainable development goals (SDGs) aimed to achieve a more sustainable future. Greenhouse gas and CO2 emissions are now at their highest levels in history, and freight transport and logistics service industry has been recognized as one of the main contributors to environmental degradation. Nowadays, the influence of enabling technologies and green practic...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 10, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Key factors in the start-up phase of collaborative foresight
This study showed that factors such as trust and the fear of losing know-how are not overly concerning, due to the less binding form of collaboration and the company selection (no competitors). Furthermore, we found that common goals are less important and that diversity of partners is an essential factor. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 10, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Decent work in a transition economy: An empirical study of employees in China
This study evaluates the predictors and outcomes of decent work and uses the model to compare samples of public and non-public Chinese employees from diverse economic and occupational backgrounds. The theoretical framework has economic constraints as a predictor; job and life satisfaction as outcomes; with work volition, career adaptability and decent work as mediators. Overall, most of the hypothesized direct paths were significantly positive, except that economic constraints negatively influence career adaptability and work volition. The results indicate that the PWT is applicable to Chinese employees and the theory is s...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 8, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

The cost of weak institutions for innovation in China
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Andrés Rodríguez-Pose, Min ZhangAbstractDoes the variation in the quality of local government institutions affect the capacity of firms to innovate? This paper uses a unique dataset that combines the specific features of 2,700 firms with the institutional and socioeconomic characteristics of the 25 cities in China where they operate, in order to assess the extent to which institutional quality – measured across four dimensions: rule of law, government effectiveness, corruption, and regulatory quality &n...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 8, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Financing paths, firms’ governance and corporate entrepreneurship: Accessing and applying operant and operand resources in biotechnology firms
This study investigates the systemic relationship between financing paths used by early-stage biotechnology firms, the accessed resources, the subsequent reconfiguration of management and governance structures, and their effect on the level of corporate entrepreneurship. Adopting a qualitative methodology based on an inductive approach, in 2018 and 2019 we observed 12 UK biotechnology ventures that accessed private, corporate or crowdfunding equity investments. We collected primary data through open-ended and semi-structured interviews with CEOs and board members of these firms. Findings were interpreted applying a resourc...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 8, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

It's never too late (to enter)… till it is! Firms’ entry and exit in the digital audio player industry
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Roberto Camerani, Nicoletta Corrocher, Roberto FontanaAbstractWe study the determinants of firms’ exit from product segments in a technologically dynamic industry to understand whether exit depends on entry timing, the pre-entry experience of entrants, and the presence of a dominant firm in the segment. Relying upon a detailed database of products from the digital audio player industry since its inception, we find that late entry in a product segment is beneficial for a firm's survival. Firms without prior experience...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 7, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Social commerce information sharing and their impact on consumers
This study demonstrates the link between social commerce information sharing, trust, perceived privacy risk, and intention to buy, and highlights the need to consider these constructs in social commerce research in emerging markets. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 7, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Clash of titans: The challenges of socio-technical transitions in the electrical vehicle technologies – the case study of Thai automotive industry
This study combines the strength of global value chain (GVC) and national innovation system (NIS) using multi-level perspective (MLP) to create a new framework that could reveal the interconnections between the actors of social settings and evaluate the sources of innovation and socio-technical transitions by integrating both the national and international analysis together. The global system of innovation (GSI) framework is introduced to point out the key players participating in the transition and investigate the effects of interactions between actors and to explore their effects on the transition in the Thai automotive ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 5, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Local Open Innovation: A means for public policy to increase collaboration for innovation in SMEs
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Anja Leckel, Sophie Veilleux, Leo Paul DanaAbstractOur study focuses on how public policy can effectively increase collaboration for innovation among firms, entrepreneurs, research institutions and the public sector in a way that is easily accessible and beneficial for SMEs. In recommending Local Open Innovation (LOI), this paper helps to shape regional innovation policies by strengthening regional networks to efficiently facilitate collaborative innovation. Considering cognitive barriers and constrained resources and capa...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 5, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

From user insights to user foresights: Applying video-based ethnographic narratives and user innovation in NPD
Publication date: Available online 31 January 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeAuthor(s): Evy Sakellariou, Kalipso Karantinou, Keith Goffin (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 1, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Editorial Board
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 1, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Linking investment decisions and future food security to the regulation of genetic-based technologies
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Marija Pavleska, William A. KerrAbstractThe paper makes explicit the link between regulation of genetic-based technologies and long run food security through the effect on investment decisions related to these technologies using a real options model. Of all the drivers of social change, alterations in food security status are one of the most disruptive to societies. Improvements can release individuals and groups from chronic hunger, malnourishment, anxieties stemming from continually having to search for the next meal and...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - February 1, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technology foresight for social good: Social implications of technological innovation by 2050 from a Global Expert Survey
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Caixia Mao, Ryu Koide, Alexander Brem, Lewis AkenjiAbstractTechnology foresight is crucial in shaping the futures of social good that brings intrinsic and instrumental values to engage different stakeholders in the process. Within this context, the impact of technological innovation on the society from a multi-dimensional perspective is understudied. This paper addresses and investigates this gap by applying a qualitative survey of 137 experts. The survey's results are then treated using quantitative cross-sectional analys...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 30, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Rigidities of imagination in scenario planning: Strategic foresight through ‘Unlearning’
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): George Burt, Anup Karath NairAbstractThe emergence of strategic foresight from scenarios has constantly puzzled theorists. Whilst practitioners and scholars of scenario planning contend that scenarios generate strategic foresight by both stretching a manager's mental model by exposing them to a wide range of equally plausible futures, and triggering and accelerating processes of organisational learning, the true nature of this link between strategic foresight and organisational learning remains vague and undertheorised. Ou...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 30, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

The driving factors of China's embodied carbon emissions: A study from the perspectives of inter-provincial trade and international trade
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Zhengning PU, Shujing YUE, Peng GAOAbstractBased on China's regional extended input-output tables from 2002 to 2012, we built non-competitive input-output models in order to measure China's embodied carbon emissions (ECEs) from international trade and inter-provincial trade, while also using a structural decomposition analysis (SDA) approach to examine the driving factors of variation in ECEs from international trade and inter-provincial trade. The findings were as follows. First, the ECEs of China's 30 provincial administ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 29, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

An orchestration approach to smart city data ecosystems
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Anushri Gupta, Panos Panagiotopoulos, Frances BowenAbstractResearch on smart cities has illustrated the use of data analytics, open data, smart sensors and other data-intensive applications that have significant potential to transform urban environments. As the complexity and intensity of these projects has increased, there is a need to understand smart city data ecosystems as an integrated view of data applications by the various city entities that operate within an institutional environment. This paper examines how autho...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 29, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Climate change and green transitions in an agent-based integrated assessment model
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): F. Lamperti, G. Dosi, M. Napoletano, A. Roventini, A. SapioAbstractIn this paper we employ an agent-based integrated assessment model to study the likelihood of transition to green, sustainable growth in presence of climate damages. The model comprises heterogeneous fossil-fuel and renewable plants, capital- and consumption-good firms and a climate box linking greenhouse gasses emission to temperature dynamics and microeconomic climate shocks affecting labour productivity and energy demand of firms. Simulation results show...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 29, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Machine learning solutions to challenges in finance: An application to the pricing of financial products
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Lirong Gan, Huamao Wang, Zhaojun YangAbstractThe recent fast development of machine learning provides new tools to solve challenges in many areas. In finance, average options are popular financial products among corporations, institutional investors, and individual investors for risk management and investment because average options have the advantages of cheap prices and their payoffs are not very sensitive to the changes of the underlying asset prices at the maturity date, avoiding the manipulation of asset prices and op...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 27, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Technological catching up and innovation policies in China: What is behind this largely successful story?
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Yanfei Li, Qiang Ji, Dayong ZhangAbstractTechnological progress is critical for achieving sustainable growth and thus an important issue to study. China has recently emerged as a key power of innovation with both increasing investment in research and clear improvements in research output. The main questions behind these facts are how this country makes such achievements in a short period of time and whether they are sustainable in the future. This paper proposes a new theoretical framework to explain the phenomenally accel...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 26, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Public procurement as a vehicle of innovation – What does the inverted-U relationship between competition and innovativeness tell us?
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Timo Tammi, Jani Saastamoinen, Helen ReijonenAbstractThis paper contributes to the literature on the role of public procurement in encouraging innovations in the economy by empirically examining how the inverted-U relationship between competition and innovation is related to SME behavior in public procurement. First, we establish the inverted-U relationship in our data. We find that ‘intra-provincial suppliers’ (SMEs supplying mainly to public sector customers in their own municipality and province) are less in...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 26, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

What factors drive returns on initial coin offerings?
This study starts by providing a comprehensive description of the characteristics, benefits, and risks associated with ICOs. Then, using a panel data set comprising daily information for 125 ICOs (44,217 observations gathered from December 2017 to December 2018), this study explores the influence of the ICO presale period, ICO category, Bitcoin spot returns, Bitcoin futures returns, and sentiment extracted from social media on ICO returns. The results suggest that while Bitcoin spot and Bitcoin futures returns exert a positive influence on ICO returns, the existence of a presale period exerts a negative influence, and ICO ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 26, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Study on the spatial configuration of nursing homes for the elderly people in Shanghai: Based on their choice preference
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): Shan Song, De Wang, Wei Zhu, Can WangAbstractBackgroundThe rapid population aging arouses the enormous demands of elderly people for institutional care services. Although the supply of nursing homes is still short in quantity, a structural imbalance on the utilization of nursing homes has appeared in many cities of China recently. Namely, when elderly people wait a long time for a bed of downtown nursing homes, many suburban ones are not fully utilized.PurposeThis paper aims to reveal the elderly people's preferences for t...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 24, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Going beyond definitions to understand tensions within the bioeconomy: The contribution of sociotechnical regimes to contested fields
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): N. BefortAbstractThe bioeconomy is steadily becoming more important to regional, national and European public policy. As it encompasses the transformation of agricultural, marine and organic resources into food, feed, fuels, energy and materials, the bioeconomy should become a major new industry replacing oil-based products. However, policymakers take two main approaches to developing the bioeconomy. The first, biotech-oriented approach depicts the bioeconomy as a biotechnology subsector. The second, biomass-oriented appro...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 24, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

The Internet-driven sexual revolution in China
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Jindian Liu, Mingwang Cheng, Xinyu Wei, Ning Neil YuAbstractBased on data from the Chinese General Social Surveys from 2012, 2013, and 2015, this paper empirically studies the impact of the Internet on sexual attitudes, using ordinary least squares regressions and ordinal logistic regressions, followed by regressions that use the instrumental variable method and propensity score matching method for causal inferences. Our results suggest that Internet-usage frequency has a significantly positive impact on sexually permissiv...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 24, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Entrepreneurial and alliance orientation alignment in new product development
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Adriana Amaya Rivas, Yen-Chun Chen, Ta-Kai YangAbstractGiven different strategic logics and implications of entrepreneurial orientation (EO) and alliance orientation (AO), this study develops an integrative model of an alignment between EO and AO in the context of new product development (NPD) and articulates the results of a study designed to examine its effects on a firm's NPD activities and performance outcomes. The authors empirically investigate the model through a cross-sectional survey of 141 Taiwanese electronics f...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 24, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Environmental regulation and innovation in renewable energy technologies: Does the policy instrument matter?
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Erik Hille, Wilhelm Althammer, Henning DiederichAbstractWe examine how different renewable energy support policies affect innovation in solar and wind power technologies. The analysis uses policy and patent data for a large sample of 194 countries and territories. The policy data enables distinguishing between two dimensions of regulation, i.e. design and intensity, and their effects on innovation. The patent data is based on the new Y02E system and covers the period 1990 to 2016, with the more recent years revealing both ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 21, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Assessing the impact of renewable energy on local development and the Sustainable Development Goals: Insights from a small Philippine island
We present a socio-economic impact survey for a case study island: Cobrador represents a typical small Philippine island with a population of approximately 1,000. The implementation of solar power and batteries led to increased service hours, affordability and environmental soundness. We applied a household questionnaire focusing on electricity usage patterns and targeted 170 randomly selected households representing 70% of the population. Our data show a clear positive impact of the intervention on access to education, information, health services, and perceived safety, whereas we found a weaker impact on income generatio...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 20, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Uncovering the micro-foundations of knowledge sharing in open innovation partnerships: An intention-based perspective of technology transfer
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): Veronica Scuotto, Orlando Beatrice, Cillo Valentina, Melita Nicotra, Leonardo Di Gioia, Massimiliano Farina BriamonteAbstractIn the current dynamic and virtuous flow of knowledge economy, firms are concern about whether to manage innovation centrally or through decentralized business units. Two needs emerge 1. Guaranteeing organizational efficiency and 2. Exploiting effectively market opportunity. This usually implies the integration of knowledge in technology transfer which can be accrued via the knowledge sharing between...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 17, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Integrating community and e-commerce to build a trusted online second-hand platform: Based on the perspective of social capital
Publication date: April 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 153Author(s): Nuan Luo, Yu Wang, Mingli Zhang, Tao Niu, Jianbo TuAbstractTaking Xianyu (Taobao second-hand platform) for an example, this study proposes a framework to identify the integrative effect of community and e-commerce on building the “trustworthiness” of online second-hand transaction platform. Research data was analysed by structural equation modelling based on 565 valid questionnaires. The results revealed that e-commerce service quality (system quality, security assurance, product variety and service support) an...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 17, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Sustainable development, intellectual capital and technology policies: A structured literature review and future research agenda
Discussions indicate that some SDGs are starting to be explored more than others (e.g., quality education, infrastructure, health, cities and communities) and that only recently some studies are specialising specifically in the importance of technology to address the SDGs. Implications for technology policy have been highlighted to frame a future research agenda for academics and practitioners. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 17, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Effects of top managers’ military experience on technological innovation in the transition economies of China
This study implies that enterprises should carefully select senior management teams to enhance investments in technological innovation. (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 17, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

The value of PhD in the changing world of work: Traditional and alternative research careers
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): Natalia Shmatko, Yurij Katchanov, Galina VolkovaAbstractThe paper considers career patterns of researchers and the ways to assess their career achievements on the academic and non-academic labor markets. Taking into account the approaches developed earlier in the framework of the sociology of science, as well as on the basis of recent empirical studies, the authors propose an original approach to the study of a research career, determine the integral indicator of career achievements and assess the research career rank by m...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 17, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Network capital, exploitative and exploratory innovations——from the perspective of network dynamics
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): Zhengang Zhang, Taiye LuoAbstractTaking the patent data in the field of nano energy from 2000 to 2018 as an example, this paper divides organizations’ network capital into four dimensions (i.e., knowledge combinatorial capacity, knowledge stocks, technological distance and network efficiency) and uses Stochastic Actor-Oriented Models to test the relationships between the four dimensions of network capital, exploratory innovation, and exploitative innovation. We found that exploratory innovation and exploitative innov...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 15, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Diaspora entrepreneurs’ push and pull institutional factors for investing in Africa: Insights from African returnees from the United Kingdom
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): Frank Nyame-Asiamah, Isaac Oduro Amoako, Joseph Amankwah-Amoah, Yaw A. DebrahAbstractApplying the institution-based views, this article conceptualises how diaspora entrepreneurs take stimuli from the push and pull institutional factors to develop business enterprises in their countries of origin. Using cases of African diaspora entrepreneurs in the UK and the grounded theory methodological approach, our conceptualised model demonstrates that the diasporas use the new knowledge, skills and wealth they have gained in the UK ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 15, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

SMEs internationalization: The role of product innovation, market intelligence, pricing and marketing communication capabilities as drivers of SMEs’ international performance
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): Mohammad Falahat, T. Ramayah, Pedro Soto-Acosta, Yan-Yin LeeAbstractSmall and medium enterprise (SME) competitive advantage has been recognized as an important topic for researchers dealing with SME internationalization. Previous studies have long discussed the role of firm competitive advantage as a determinant of international performance, but there are few studies analyzing the determinants of firm competitive advantage and its potential mediating role in the relationship between organizational capabilities and SMEs' in...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

The impact of population pressure on global fertiliser use intensity, 1970–2011: An analysis of policy-induced mediation
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): Tao Xiang, Tariq H. Malik, Klaus NielsenAbstractPopulation growth generates various challenges for humankind. One such challenge is linked to the trade-off between food security and food safety (environmental quality). Increasing population and shrinking agricultural land necessitates productivity gains in agricultural production in order to secure food security. However, intensive use of agrochemicals (fertiliser and pesticides) impacts on food safety through deteriorated environmental quality. This security-safety dilemm...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 14, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Editorial Board
Publication date: February 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 151Author(s): (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 11, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Digital social capital and performance of initial coin offerings
In this study, we analyze 537 companies that chose the ICO model in 2017 and investigate how their digital social capital is related to the rank of the ICO based on the market capitalization. The goal of this work is to better understand the role of digital social capital in ICO success. Multiple facets of digital presence are analyzed, such as website, ICO activity on social networks like Twitter, the community built and the activeness of the community. We apply an exploratory factor analysis to leverage the main factors that can be used as latent variables, and build an original research model. Structural equation modell...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 11, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

The role of open innovation in developing an entrepreneurial support ecosystem
In this study, we use the open innovation paradigm to analyze the development of an entrepreneurial support ecosystem. We argue that business accelerators play a critical role within an emerging entrepreneurial ecosystem. Our analysis draws on qualitative data from a business accelerator in such a context. We suggest that, in environments that have underdeveloped entrepreneurial support ecosystems, public policy should endorse the open innovation activities of key actors in entrepreneurial ecosystems. By harnessing open innovation, an accelerator forges a broader network of relationships with actors outside of the system, ...
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 5, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research

Corrigendum to Shaping “Portuguese science policy for the European horizon: The discourses of technological change” [Technological Forecasting & Social Change 113PB (2016) 168 – 184]
Publication date: March 2020Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 152Author(s): Tiago Brandão (Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change)
Source: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - January 5, 2020 Category: Science Source Type: research