Quantifying Uncertainty in Infectious Disease Mechanistic Models.

We describe the statistical uncertainty as belonging to three categories: data uncertainty, stochastic uncertainty, and structural uncertainty. We demonstrate how to account for each of these via statistical uncertainty measures and sensitivity analyses broadly, as well as in a specific case study on estimating the basic reproductive number, ${R}_0$, for SARS-CoV-2. PMID: 33475686 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33475686?dopt=Abstract

Source: Am J Epidemiol - January 21, 2021 Category: Epidemiology Authors: D'Agostino McGowan L, Grantz KH, Murray E Tags: Am J Epidemiol Source Type: research