Tracking UK Covid-19 cases, CEBM (updated 9th October 2020)

We reported last week on t 2 External 0 0 0he rule of four false https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-rule-of-four-how-to-make-sense-of-covid-case-numbers true false%> on how to make sense of COVID cases. The government ' s 2 External 0 0 0  data   false https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ true false%>today shows that cases assessed by specimen date have not yet doubled over 21 days. On the 23 Sep they were 4,914 compared to 2,614 on 2 Sep – 88% higher, but not yet double. 2 External 0 0 0 Vallance said false https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-54234084 true false%>“If, and that ' s quite a big if, but if that continues unabated, and this grows, doubling every seven days … if that continued, you would end up with something like 50,000 cases in the middle of October per day. We put the doubling to the test by creating a tracker of the projection. At the moment there is a significant divergence in the case data with the 49,000 cases that were projected by the 13 Oct. We will keep this tracker up to date to monitor the changes.
Source: Current Awareness Service for Health (CASH) - Category: Consumer Health News Source Type: news