The dimension of time

Be very careful how you interpret the current geographic distribution of the Covid epidemic. The difference between places that have a lot of it now and the places that only have a little is time. Many states and localities that did not take mitigation measures because they didn ' t think they had a big problem are going to have a big problem soon.That ' s a key concept in epidemiology, which I have discussed before: exponential growth. If one person infects two people, and those in turn infect four, and they in turn infect eight, and so on, you think you don ' t have a problem on Septober 1 and then find you have a big problem on Septober 14. So don ' t think the picture you ' re seeing now is the one you will be seeing in two weeks.That is all.
Source: Stayin' Alive - Category: American Health Source Type: blogs