Thought experiment

Please don't get me wrong. I've seen other people try to put our present crisis in context, or discuss the costs vs. the benefits of certain actions, and be widely condemned for insensitivity or even sociopathy. I remember after the 9/11 attack, when people who tried to explain the motivations or sociological origins of Al Qaeda and similar movements faced the same sort of criticism. You weren't allowed to think about the problem, people weren't ready for any sort of moral confusion. In what I am about to say, I am not arguing against saving lives, on the contrary. I'm just trying to explain something about where we are in history.Suppose this had happened in, say, 1890? In thinking about that it helps to refer to something sorta, kinda like it that did happen in 1918. The 1918 influenza pandemic occurred during WWI, which is important in some ways but doesn't much affect the analysis I'm doing here. Because record keeping in most of the world was not good, estimates of global fatalities range from 17 to 100 million. Either way that's a lot, especially considering the much smaller population than today. Estimating the case fatality rate is even harder because we can only guesstimate how many people were actually infected. Those estimates range from 3.5% to 10%, but it might be higher. (I'm taking this from Dylan Matthews.) The case fatality rate from Covid-19 is also subject to uncertainty, but it's definitely lower, probably at worst 2%.Another important difference is that t...
Source: Stayin' Alive - Category: American Health Source Type: blogs

Related Links:

Hey everyone, Hope you're all staying safe during this pandemic. I am a medical student who was supposed to graduate this month but the graduation got delayed for 2 months. Staying home during this pandemic allowed me to think and reevaluate my decisions. This lead me to road block when I wanted to choose a specialty. I've always wanted pediatrics. After my pediatrics rotation I started to enjoy other rotations even less. However, I also enjoyed the pediatric surgery rotation. Dealing with... Choosing A Specialty That Fits
Source: Student Doctor Network - Category: Universities & Medical Training Authors: Tags: Medical Students - MD Source Type: forums
Publication date: Available online 24 May 2020Source: Journal of Vascular and Interventional RadiologyAuthor(s): Kasey Halsey, Jing Wu, Chang Su, Ben Hsieh, Thomas Yi, Scott A. Collins, Benjamin Kimia, Paul J. Zhang, Terrance Healey, Zishu Zhang, Harrison X. Bai
Source: Journal of Vascular and Interventional Radiology - Category: Radiology Source Type: research
Publication date: Available online 25 May 2020Source: Journal of the American College of RadiologyAuthor(s): Sherry S. Wang, Marilyn A. Roubidoux
Source: Journal of the American College of Radiology - Category: Radiology Source Type: research
Publication date: Available online 24 May 2020Source: European Journal of RadiologyAuthor(s): Lisa Loi, Ferdinand Zimmermann, Steffen Goerke, Andreas Korzowski, Jan-Eric Meissner, Katerina Deike-Hofmann, Anne Stieber, Peter Bachert, Mark Edward Ladd, Heinz-Peter Schlemmer, Sebastian Bickelhaupt, Sarah Schott, Daniel Paech
Source: European Journal of Radiology - Category: Radiology Source Type: research
ConclusionThe proposed multiparametric MRI-based SLICs+MTh method performs noninvasive assessment of NACT response in osteosarcoma that may improve cancer treatment monitoring, planning, and overall prognosis.Key Points• The simple linear iterative clustering supervoxels and Otsu multithresholding-based technique (SLICs+MTh) successfully estimates the proportion of necrosis, viable tumor, and edema in osteosarcoma in the course of chemotherapy.• The proposed technique is noninvasive and uses multiparametric MRI to measure necrosis as an indication of anticancer treatment response.• SLICs+MTh-based necrosis w...
Source: European Radiology - Category: Radiology Source Type: research
Publication date: Available online 25 May 2020Source: Academic RadiologyAuthor(s): Amel Amalou, Baris Turkbey, Sheng Xu, Evrim Turkbey, Peng An, Gianpaolo Carrafiello, Anna Maria Ierardi, Robert Suh, Hayet Amalou, Bradford J. Wood
Source: Academic Radiology - Category: Radiology Source Type: research
Authors: Tung-Chen Y PMID: 32446685 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]
Source: Medicina Clinica - Category: General Medicine Tags: Med Clin (Barc) Source Type: research
Authors: Pérez-Suárez B, Martínez-Menchón T, Cutillas-Marco E PMID: 32446684 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]
Source: Medicina Clinica - Category: General Medicine Tags: Med Clin (Barc) Source Type: research
Authors: López Castro J PMID: 32446683 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]
Source: Medicina Clinica - Category: General Medicine Tags: Med Clin (Barc) Source Type: research
AbstractSARS-CoV2 is dramatically impacting the global population. Worldwide, pharmacists are changing their roles and being increasingly recognized for their role as essential service providers. This commentary provides some examples collected from Asia, Europe, the Americas and Africa, ranging from essential services to meet human rights basic needs, extended generalist services developed to ensure continuity of care and supply of essential medicines to the development of differentiated extended responsibilities in emergency care. All examples were collected using a network of pharmacists from 27 countries, representing ...
Source: Journal of Pharmaceutical Policy and Practice - Category: Pharmaceuticals Source Type: research
More News: 1918 Spanish Flu | American Health | Cancer | Cancer & Oncology | Cancer Vaccines | Cardiology | Contracts | COVID-19 | Economy | Emergency Medicine | Flu Pandemic | Health Management | Heart | Hospitals | Influenza | Influenza Vaccine | Medical Ethics | Nurses | Nursing | Pandemics | Respiratory Medicine | Schools | Vaccines