Finding Comfort in Predictions

On March 11 I wrote the following notes in my personal journal: The coronavirus is currently in outbreak mode around the world. There are 125,865 known infections worldwide, with almost 81K in China. In the USA there are already 1281 infections, 7 of them in Nevada. But that’s largely due to severe under-testing.I think the USA is in for a big reckoning, especially with Donald Trump being a complete idiot in his response to this, clearly caring more about the economy and his own self-interests than about people’s lives.The death rate of this virus seems to be about 3-4%, a lot deadlier than the flu. There’s a good chance I’ll get infected at some point, but I’ll probably be fine. Many people won’t be fine though.Within a matter of weeks, hospitals will be overwhelmed with patients since about 15-20% of the infected require hospitalization – for about 2 weeks. When the virus kills, the average is about 17 days till death.This is a big deal for the planet. It’s about to become a really big deal for the USA and for Las Vegas. I doubt that enough people see this yet though. In that same entry, I also made the following predictions as a way of wrapping my head around what I thought could be coming up: The virus will spread quickly because the government response is severely lacking.It will hit Las Vegas hard, especially because the Mayor is behaving cluelessly, attacking the media and defending the economics of the city more...
Source: Steve Pavlina's Personal Development Blog - Category: Psychiatry & Psychology Authors: Tags: Emotions Health Source Type: blogs

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CONCLUSIONS: There is a need to improve respiratory infectious disease procedures in our study hospitals, especially in outpatient and emergency departments. PMID: 32459978 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]
Source: Postgraduate Medicine - Category: Internal Medicine Tags: Postgrad Med Source Type: research
Even with the relaxation of measures, pubs in the city are still likely to go to the wallTwo months after the Briton ’s Protection pub in Manchester city centre had to close its doors, the business’s owner Mark West doesn’t know when they will reopen, a source of frustration for him and his furloughed staff.The specialist ale and whisky pub, which has been serving the city ’s drinkers including artists and musicians for more than 200 years, is currently “haemorrhaging” money says West, who is using money from his property development business to support the pub.Continue reading...
Source: Guardian Unlimited Science - Category: Science Authors: Tags: Coronavirus outbreak UK news Infectious diseases Medical research Microbiology Science Source Type: news
Cross-party group highlights new evidence on how dirty air may worsen infectionsCoronavirus – latest updatesSee all our coronavirus coverageAir pollution must be kept at low levels to help avoid a second peak of coronavirus infections, according to a cross-party report from MPs.There isgrowing evidence from around the world linking exposure to dirty air and increased infections and deaths from Covid-19. Lockdowns cut air pollution levels in many places, but the MPs said measures were needed to ensure it remains low.Continue reading...
Source: Guardian Unlimited Science - Category: Science Authors: Tags: Air pollution Coronavirus outbreak UK news US news Environment Science World news Politics Source Type: news
During the calamitous COVID-19 outbreak in Italy in April, some doctors and nurses who helped coronavirus patients chose to stay at a hotel and temporarily separate from their families.Reuters Health Information
Source: Medscape Critical Care Headlines - Category: Intensive Care Tags: Infectious Diseases News Source Type: news
Scientists say failure to follow advice raises questions over test-and-trace policyCoronavirus – latest updatesSee all our coronavirus coverageOnly half of people who develop coronavirus symptoms self-isolate for at least a week, according to government science advisers, raising urgent questions about the success of the test, trace and isolate strategy needed to contain future outbreaks.In an April report to the government ’s Scientific Advisory Group on Emergencies (Sage), behavioural science experts said “rapid” research was needed on how best to get people to comply with self-isolation advice giv...
Source: Guardian Unlimited Science - Category: Science Authors: Tags: Coronavirus outbreak Infectious diseases Science UK news Health policy Source Type: news
Authors: Amgalan A, Othman M Abstract Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is responsible for the coronavirus disease in 2019 (COVID-19) which rapidly evolved from an outbreak in Wuhan, China into a pandemic that has resulted in over millions of infections and over hundreds of thousands of mortalities worldwide. Various coagulopathies have been reported in association with COVID-19, including disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC), local microthrombi, venous thromboembolism (VTE), arterial thrombotic complications, and thrombo-inflammation. There is a...
Source: Platelets - Category: Hematology Tags: Platelets Source Type: research
Testing and tracing is the answer to protecting our most vulnerable – not trying in vain to ‘cocoon’ them awayCoronavirus – latest updatesSee all our coronavirus coverageIn the lastUK government report on coronavirus policy, the word “shielding” is mentioned 36 times. The UK, Sweden and the Netherlands have all shown much interest in this strategy of cocooning elderly and other vulnerable groups in their homes or shelters while attempting to reopen economies outside.To date,shielding has meant asking the elderly, chronically ill, and others vulnerable to hospitalisation from co...
Source: Guardian Unlimited Science - Category: Science Authors: Tags: Coronavirus outbreak Infectious diseases Science UK news Older people Social care Society Health Source Type: news
ABSTRACT To identify and classify available information regarding COVID-19 and eye care according to the level of evidence, within four main topics of interest: evidence of the virus in tears and the ocular surface, infection via the conjunctival route, ocular manifestations, and best practice recommendations. A structured review was conducted in PubMed, ScienceDirect, LILACS, SciELO, the Cochrane Library and Google Scholar on COVID-19 and ophthalmology. The Oxford Centre for Evidence Based Medicine 2011 Levels of Evidence worksheet was used for quality assessments. 1018 items were identified in the search; 26 records were...
Source: Arquivos Brasileiros de Oftalmologia - Category: Opthalmology Source Type: research
ABSTRACT To identify and classify available information regarding COVID-19 and eye care according to the level of evidence, within four main topics of interest: evidence of the virus in tears and the ocular surface, infection via the conjunctival route, ocular manifestations, and best practice recommendations. A structured review was conducted in PubMed, ScienceDirect, LILACS, SciELO, the Cochrane Library and Google Scholar on COVID-19 and ophthalmology. The Oxford Centre for Evidence Based Medicine 2011 Levels of Evidence worksheet was used for quality assessments. 1018 items were identified in the search; 26 records were...
Source: Arquivos Brasileiros de Oftalmologia - Category: Opthalmology Source Type: research
ABSTRACT To identify and classify available information regarding COVID-19 and eye care according to the level of evidence, within four main topics of interest: evidence of the virus in tears and the ocular surface, infection via the conjunctival route, ocular manifestations, and best practice recommendations. A structured review was conducted in PubMed, ScienceDirect, LILACS, SciELO, the Cochrane Library and Google Scholar on COVID-19 and ophthalmology. The Oxford Centre for Evidence Based Medicine 2011 Levels of Evidence worksheet was used for quality assessments. 1018 items were identified in the search; 26 records were...
Source: Arquivos Brasileiros de Oftalmologia - Category: Opthalmology Source Type: research
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