The real cost, and longer term implications, of the Wuhan coronavirus

It's too soon to know for sure how the tale of the novel coronavirus will play out,but at this point we have a pretty good idea. A stipulation in both of the scenarios at the linked essay is that yeah, it gets loose into the wild and eventually can show up anywhere in the world. I think that's pretty much definitely going to happen if it hasn't already.Scenario number 1, and most likely, in my view, it will just be one more virus that causes what amounts to a common cold and in a few people who are otherwise debilitated goes on to be complicated by pneumonia. In that case, for a year or two it will circulate as a novel virus to which no-one is immune and there will be a fairly high incidence -- although most people who are exposed will have no symptoms, or very mild symptoms. Then things will settle down and it will hardly be noticeable. One more common cold virus won't make a big difference, there are already dozens of them. Note that the most likely evolutionary trajectory for any endemic virus is that it becomes less virulent over time, because people who are lying on their couch all day aren't likely to transmit it.Scenario number 2 is that it's a bit more virulent, like influenza, and also tends to recur seasonally. having one more influenza virus to contend with is definitely not better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick, however since this class of virus, unlike influenza, has a very low mutation rate, it should be possible to make an effective vaccine that's go...
Source: Stayin' Alive - Category: American Health Source Type: blogs

Related Links:

Authors: Rombauts A, Abelenda-Alonso G, Cuervo G, Gudiol C, Carratalà J Abstract INTRODUCTION: Despite adequate antibiotic coverage, community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains a leading cause of hospitalization and mortality worldwide. It induces both a local pulmonary and a systemic inflammatory response, particularly significant in severe cases. The intensity of the dysregulated host response varies from patient to patient and has a negative impact on survival and other outcomes. AREAS COVERED: This comprehensive review summarizes the pathophysiological aspects of the inflammatory response in CAP, brie...
Source: Expert Review of Anti-Infective Therapy - Category: Infectious Diseases Tags: Expert Rev Anti Infect Ther Source Type: research
Publication date: 15 February 2021Source: Journal of Hazardous Materials, Volume 404, Part AAuthor(s): Zhongyi Zhang, Wen-Xiong Wang, Nengjian Zheng, Yansheng Cao, Hongwei Xiao, Renguo Zhu, Hui Guan, Huayun Xiao
Source: Journal of Hazardous Materials - Category: Environmental Health Source Type: research
This study therefore investigated the impacts of RRCC on air pollution based on detailed household heating data obtained from intensive face-to-face interviews in Shandong province, China. The total contributions and specific contributions of coal, stoves, and coal-stove combinations to air pollution were simulated using the WRF-CAMx-PSAT model. The RRCC for heating had a considerable impact on air pollution, contributing 36.1, 9.1, and 16.1% of atmospheric SO2, NOx, and PM2.5 in winter, respectively. Different coal-stove combinations had different impacts on air pollution and mitigation efficiencies. The combination of bi...
Source: Chemosphere - Category: Chemistry Authors: Tags: Chemosphere Source Type: research
Abstract Limited studies focus on the occurrence, removal rate and seasonal variation of substituted diphenylamine antioxidants (SDPAs) in surface water and wastewater in China. In this paper, the detection method of SDPAs was established by the ultra-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Daily variations suggested that significant variations were found for the concentrations of some SDPAs in the influent. It was found that the SDPAs could be detected in all the effluent samples and C8/C8-DPA was the predominant compound in two WWTPs. The levels of most SDPAs in the effluent were much lower t...
Source: Chemosphere - Category: Chemistry Authors: Tags: Chemosphere Source Type: research
Acceptance of trauma can also help to reduce its damaging effects. → Support PsyBlog for just $5 per month. Enables access to articles marked (M) and removes ads. → Explore PsyBlog's ebooks, all written by Dr Jeremy Dean: Accept Yourself: How to feel a profound sense of warmth and self-compassion The Anxiety Plan: 42 Strategies For Worry, Phobias, OCD and Panic Spark: 17 Steps That Will Boost Your Motivation For Anything Activate: How To Find Joy Again By Changing What You Do
Source: PsyBlog | Psychology Blog - Category: Psychiatry & Psychology Authors: Tags: Sleep subscribers-only Source Type: blogs
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie says he has been discharged from a New Jersey hospital after a week there following his announcement that he had contracted the coronavirus
Source: ABC News: Health - Category: Consumer Health News Tags: Health Source Type: news
CORONAVIRUS could infect you within a moment's notice, but the body takes longer to respond. Top researchers from King's College London have discovered the 'dark horses' of COVID-19.
Source: Daily Express - Health - Category: Consumer Health News Source Type: news
Publication date: Available online 10 October 2020Source: Journal of Hospital InfectionAuthor(s): Hisakazu Yano, Ryuichi Nakano, Yuki Suzuki, Akiyo Nakano, Kei Kasahara, Hiroshi Hosoi
Source: Journal of Hospital Infection - Category: Infectious Diseases Source Type: research
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie said he was released from the hospital Saturday morning following treatment for the coronavirus.
Source: Reuters: Health - Category: Consumer Health News Source Type: news
AbstractPurposeTo investigate the efficacy and safety of bencycloquidium bromide nasal spray (BCQB) in patients with persistent allergic rhinitis (PAR).MethodsWe enrolled 720 patients from 15 hospitals across China and randomly assigned them into BCQB group or placebo group (90  μg per nostril qid) to receive a 4-week treatment. Visual analog scale (VAS) for rhinorrhea, sneezing, nasal congestion, itching and overall symptoms were recorded by patients every day. Anterior rhinoscopy scoring was completed by doctors on every visit. Adverse events were recorded in detail.ResultsA total of 354 and 351 patients were inc...
Source: European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Category: ENT & OMF Source Type: research
More News: American Health | Babies | China Health | Common Cold | Coronavirus | Ebola | Ebola Vaccine | Endemics | Influenza | Influenza Vaccine | Measles | Measles Vaccine | Mumps | Mumps Vaccine | Pneomococcal Vaccine | Pneumonia | Polio | Polio Vaccine | Rubella | Rubella Vaccine | Sleep Disorders | Sleep Medicine | Smallpox | Smallpox Vaccine | Vaccines | Zika Virus