Quantifying stochastic uncertainty in detection time of human-caused climate signals [Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences]

Large initial condition ensembles of a climate model simulation provide many different realizations of internal variability noise superimposed on an externally forced signal. They have been used to estimate signal emergence time at individual grid points, but are rarely employed to identify global fingerprints of human influence. Here we analyze...

Source: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - September 30, 2019 Category: Science Authors: Benȷamin D. Santer, John C. Fyfe, Susan Solomon, Jeffrey F. Painter, Celine Bonfils, Giuliana Pallotta, Mark D. Zelinka Tags: PNAS Plus Source Type: research