Evidence-Based Prognostication

by Christian Sinclair (@ctsinclair)We are prognosticating beings. It is how we survive. Many everyday decisions begin with an estimation of likely future outcomes. If my first clinic appointment is at 9:15am, and my drive from the hospital to the clinic usually takes 25 minutes, then I need to leave by 8:50am at the latest to give myself time to spare for bad traffic light timing, lack of a good parking spot or some other problem that may delay my arrival. I make my estimates, and go with the safest choice. I could go with my gut and my experience or I could use Waze, an app where I can select where I am leaving from, where I am going and what time I want to arrive by and it will tell me the best time to go based on a much bigger data set from drivers on the roads at that moment. Not only that, I could also use Waze to send an updated map to the clinic team to let them know when I will be there, so they can plan ahead as well.But when it comes to medicine, we often deal with prognosis of many different outcomes, but we rarely use data and technology (evidence) and we rarely share this information clearly with others (documentation.) I recently finished the chapter on Prognostication for the new edition of the Oxford Textbook of Palliative Medicine, so prognosis has been on my mind a lot. One key article stuck with me and made me reflect on my practice of documenting evidence-based prognosis.Andrew Bruggeman and his colleagues at UC San Diego reviewed 412 inpatient palliative ...
Source: Pallimed: A Hospice and Palliative Medicine Blog - Category: Palliative Care Tags: hpmchat journal article prognosis research sinclair tweetchat twitter Source Type: blogs