A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018.
A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018.
Euro Surveill. 2018 Apr;23(17):
Authors: Lytras T, Georgakopoulou T, Tsiodras S
Abstract
Greece is currently experiencing a large measles outbreak, in the context of multiple similar outbreaks across Europe. We devised and applied a modified chain-binomial epidemic model, requiring very simple data, to estimate the transmission parameters of this outbreak. Model results indicate sustained measles transmission among the Greek Roma population, necessitating a targeted mass vaccination campaign to halt further spread of the epidemic. Our model may be useful for other countries facing similar measles outbreaks.
PMID: 29717695 [PubMed - in process]
Source: Euro Surveill - Category: Infectious Diseases Authors: Lytras T, Georgakopoulou T, Tsiodras S Tags: Euro Surveill Source Type: research
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