Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017.

Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017.
Euro Surveill. 2017 Nov;22(46):
Authors: Tsuzuki S, Lee H, Miura F, Chan YH, Jung SM, Akhmetzhanov AR, Nishiura H
Abstract
Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all estimates were below 1 person from August to October, 2017.
PMID: 29162211 [PubMed - in process]

Source: Euro Surveill - November 1, 2017 Category: Infectious Diseases Authors: Tsuzuki S, Lee H, Miura F, Chan YH, Jung SM, Akhmetzhanov AR, Nishiura H Tags: Euro Surveill Source Type: research