Expansion of the Lyme Disease Vector Ixodes scapularis in Canada Inferred from CMIP5 Climate Projections

Conclusion:
Our results highlight the potential for climate change to have an effect on future Lyme disease risk in Canada even if the Paris Agreement’s goal to keep global warming below 2°C is achieved, although mitigation reducing emissions from RCP8.5 levels to those of RCP6.0 or less would be expected to slow tick invasion after the 2030s. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP57

Received: 02 March 2016
Revised: 26 August 2016
Accepted: 30 August 2016
Published: 31 May 2017
Address correspondence to H. Beltrami, Earth Science Department, Physical Sciences Center, PO Box 5000, 1 West St, Antigonish, NS B2G 1W5. Telephone: [phone]. E-mail: [e-mail]
Supplemental Material is available online (https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP57).
The authors declare they have no actual or potential competing financial interests.
Note to readers with disabilities: EHP strives to ensure that all journal content is accessible to all readers. However, some figures and Supplemental Material published in EHP articles may not conform to 508 standards due to the complexity of the information being presented. If you need assistance accessing journal content, please contact [e-mail]. Our staff will work with you to assess and meet your accessibility needs within 3 working days.

Supplemental Material PDF (4.9 MB)

Note to readers with disabilities: EHP has provided a 508-conformant table of contents summarizing the Supplemental Material for this article (see below) s...

Source: EHP Research - May 31, 2017 Category: Environmental Health Authors: Terrie Young Tags: Research Source Type: research